"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 -0.1
-0.8
-0.0
-0.2
Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 -0.1
+0.1
Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 -0.3
Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 -0.3
Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 -0.4
-0.1
Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 -0.2
-0.1
Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 +0.2
+0.1
Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 +0.1
Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 +0.1
+0.0
Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.6-0.7-2.1
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic+0.3+0.1-0.3
Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sutton United vs Bromley-0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.3-0.7-1.9
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch-0.3+0.0+0.3
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge-0.3+0.0+0.3
Dover Athletic vs Havant and W-0.3+0.0+0.3
Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood+0.2+0.2-0.4
Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood+0.2+0.2-0.3
Maidenhead vs Eastleigh+0.2+0.1-0.2
Eastbourne vs Farnborough+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sutton United vs Truro City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bromley vs Truro City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Hayes and Y vs Sutton United+0.1+0.1-0.1
Dorchester Town vs Farnborough-0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Weston-S-Mare finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8011-0-054.6%65.9%55414No1,756
7810-1-030.948.23153151No1,895
7710-0-119.239.419532520No2,676
769-2-012.834.613503340No6,469
759-1-16.029.56404491No18,755
748-3-02.426.8229491720No27,278*
738-2-10.925.6119502640No58,954
728-1-20.325.00104436910No103,553*
717-3-10.124.505354216200No149,772*
707-2-20.023.702234426500No253,809*
697-1-30.021.90013393611100No224,310
6-4-10.022.4011441341010No133,894
686-3-20.019.7007314119200No383,149
7-0-4No19.106294121300No93,415*
676-2-3No15.703194130710No549,082
5-5-1No16.803224227500No112,736
665-4-2No11.90111353813200No402,528
6-1-4No10.7019323916200No398,996*
655-3-3No7.00042341246100No766,347
6-0-5No6.8042341256100No178,311*
645-2-4No3.201113435153000No823,680
4-5-2No4.00214373312200No283,894*
634-4-3No1.40052538247100No697,059*
5-1-5No1.000421372791000No471,158
624-3-4No0.301113034185100No960,087
3-6-2No0.5002143332153000No130,980
5-0-6No0.20192735216100No112,754*
614-2-5No0.1003163330143000No821,431
3-5-3No0.100520342811200No382,002*
603-4-4No0.00182434248100No710,732*
4-1-6No0.0016203327112000No393,468
593-3-5No0.00021026332171000No767,430
2-6-3No0.0003132932185100No131,091
4-0-7NoNo0182333249200No81,024*
583-2-6NoNo0003122732196100No548,215
2-5-4NoNo004153030165100No287,593*
572-4-5NoNo00141630291541000No402,842
3-1-7NoNo004142930175100No250,114*
562-3-6NoNo0015183128144100No490,311*
552-2-7NoNo0016193127133000No235,436
1-5-5NoNo001721312511300No114,443*
541-4-6NoNo001822312410200No133,481
2-1-8NoNo001720312612300No90,864*
531-3-7NoNo00292331231020000.0%136,809*
521-2-8NoNo0021124312181000.177,512*
510-4-7NoNo0003132731196100.938,119*
500-3-8NoNo01416303115303.516,491*
490-2-9NoNo01620342810111.06,612
480-1-10NoNo018273722426.31,889
470-0-11NoNo131536341144.91,762
Total:0.0%4.8%002610141413119753211000000.0%13,466,968

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship