"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/1100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Plymouth Argyle 1 Sunderland 3 +0.3
+0.4
Shrewsbury Town 2 Oxford United 3 -0.2
AFC Wimbledon 1 Portsmouth 3 -0.2
Accrington Stan 1 Charlton Athletic 1 +0.1
Northampton Town 0 Blackpool 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Blackpool vs Doncaster Rovers-0.3+0.2+0.3
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City+0.3-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Sunderland vs Northampton Town+0.3-0.2-0.6
Lincoln City vs AFC Wimbledon-0.2+0.0+0.4
Blackpool vs Bristol Rovers-0.2+0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Sunderland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
791-0-0No25.0%404812No29,871,985
770-1-0No25.0114941No12,415,364
760-0-1No25.022772No11,711,211
Total:No25.0%254331No53,998,560
Points
Chance Will Win Championship