How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Barnsley 0 Cardiff City 2 -0.5
+0.1
Stoke City 5 Hull City 1 +0.5
Charlton Athletic 0 Middlesbrough 1 +0.3
Leeds United 2 Huddersfield Town 0 -0.3
Wigan Athletic 0 Luton Town 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Luton Town vs Preston North End-9.6+2.1+5.9
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City+1.2-0.2-1.3
Reading vs Stoke City-0.4+0.2+0.7
Hull City vs Charlton Athletic-0.1-0.4+0.6
QPR vs Barnsley-0.2*-0.0+0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Huddersfield Town vs Wigan Athletic+0.3-0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Luton Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
629-0-0NoNo18243423820No2,643
608-1-0NoNo1926342271No551
598-0-1NoNo28273620610No1,011
587-2-0NoNo0031433331520No3,224
577-1-1NoNo005183631910No11,004
566-3-0NoNo017264120400No19,457*
556-2-1NoNo002133734122000.0%51,123
546-1-2NoNo00422382791000.185,522
5-4-0NoNo00425392461000.019,380
535-3-1NoNo01103035185000.5129,274
6-0-3NoNo0182736226100.847,906
525-2-2NoNo00315323215303.3322,675
4-5-0NoNo0318353012202.124,145
515-1-3NoNo005193429112012.7354,500
4-4-1NoNo00162235269109.9198,489
504-3-2NoNo00192636225027.3654,367
5-0-4NoNo0172337266032.1145,325
3-6-0NoNo02112935193022.819,664
494-2-3NoNo00212333715052.51,064,369
3-5-1NoNo00315343512047.3191,850
484-1-4NoNo004204331276.2868,410*
3-4-2NoNo0005224328272.5772,078
473-3-3NoNo001103746689.41,656,733
4-0-5NoNo0183549791.1275,171
2-6-1NoNo001123943587.0112,235
463-2-4NoNo00324601397.01,977,010
2-5-2NoNo00426581296.3539,516*
452-4-3NoNo0113622499.31,414,547
3-1-5NoNo0112622599.41,251,500
1-7-1NoNo0115622299.036,874
442-3-4NoNo005573899.92,223,069
3-0-6NoNo05563999.9327,443*
1-6-2NoNo006573699.8201,268
432-2-5NoNo024653100.02,081,437
1-5-3NoNo024652100.0635,684*
421-4-4NoNo003366100.01,219,384
2-1-6NoNo003366100.01,071,924
0-7-2NoNo13466Yes31,896
411-3-5NoNo002278100.01,504,157
2-0-7NoNo02278Yes234,856
0-6-3NoNo002278100.0114,044
401-2-6NoNo01288Yes1,146,306
0-5-4NoNo01288Yes261,916
391-1-7NoNo0694Yes496,458
0-4-5NoNo0694Yes397,379
380-3-6NoNo298Yes398,389
1-0-8NoNo397Yes92,712
370-2-7NoNo199Yes253,711
360-1-8NoNo0100Yes94,008
350-0-9NoNo100Yes17,966
Total:NoNo000000000123613363887.5%25,054,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship