"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 -0.0
-0.6
-0.1
-0.2
Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 +0.1
Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 +0.1
+0.0
Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 -0.3
Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 -0.3
Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 -0.3
Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 -0.1
-0.1
Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 +0.1
+0.0
Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 +0.1
Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic+0.2+0.0-0.2
Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sutton United vs Bromley*-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eastbourne vs Farnborough-1.4-0.5+1.7
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Dorchester Town vs Farnborough-1.5-0.5+1.9
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dover Athletic vs Havant and W-0.2+0.0+0.2
Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch-0.2+0.0+0.2
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge-0.2+0.0+0.2
Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood+0.2+0.1-0.2
Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood+0.1+0.1-0.2
Maidenhead vs Eastleigh+0.1+0.1-0.2
Bromley vs Truro City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sutton United vs Truro City-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Hayes and Y vs Sutton United+0.0+0.0-0.1
AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Farnborough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8012-0-041.5%56.1%415090No1,609
7811-1-019.439.51957231No799
7711-0-114.635.91551322No1,085
7610-2-07.730.8846415No2,903
7510-1-13.527.74365191No8,256
749-3-01.826.3226551610No12,672*
739-2-10.625.4116552530No28,880
729-1-20.225.0094835710No52,312*
718-3-10.024.60439411420No80,510*
708-2-20.024.002274423400No142,724*
698-1-3No22.60164133910No210,201*
687-3-2No20.208333917200No297,829*
677-2-3No16.604224127600No432,443*
666-4-2No12.70113363612100No297,757
7-1-4No11.50111343714200No254,728*
656-3-3No7.60052540235100No569,346
7-0-5No7.5005244024610No129,422*
646-2-4No3.602133534142000No609,931
5-5-2No4.30215373211200No252,463*
635-4-3No1.60062538247100No597,124
6-1-5No1.30052237268100No377,657*
625-3-4No0.4001123134174000No936,964*
4-6-2No0.500215343214300No145,185
615-2-5No0.1004183330133000No732,708
4-5-3No0.100521352710200No426,887*
604-4-4No0.00192534227100No804,551*
5-1-6No0.0001622342610200No348,556
594-3-5No0.00021127322061000No853,445
3-6-3No0.0003132832185100No268,225*
584-2-6NoNo003142931175100No624,333*
3-5-4NoNo0041631291441000No416,828
573-4-5NoNo0015183128133000No654,511*
4-1-7NoNo004153030164100No249,615
563-3-6NoNo0016193127123000No567,942
2-6-4NoNo001721312511300No193,036*
553-2-7NoNo0017203126123000No348,867
2-5-5NoNo002923322392000No259,838*
542-4-6NoNo00292331239200No298,419
3-1-8NoNo002822312410200No154,362*
532-3-7NoNo00021024312282000.0%322,610*
522-2-8NoNo00031125312181000.1130,995
1-5-6NoNo0031327301961000.186,105*
511-4-7NoNo014142830185100.8132,790*
501-3-8NoNo01517303015303.676,584*
491-2-9NoNo001721332710111.440,877*
480-4-8NoNo00210263622426.318,888*
470-3-9NoNo0031634351247.07,891*
460-2-10NoNo01725432467.42,914
450-1-11NoNo0216463682.0778
440-0-12NoNo063558093.41,613
Total:0.0%3.2%0024711121211108754321100000.2%13,466,968

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship