"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/8100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town 0 Boreham Wood 1 -2.6
-0.7
Chesterfield 4 King's Lynn Town 1 -0.6
-0.1
Wealdstone 0 Bromley 1 -0.5
-0.1
Woking 1 Chesterfield 4 -0.5
-0.1
Maidenhead United 0 Notts County 4 -0.5
-0.1
Wrexham 3 Yeovil Town 0 -0.4
-0.1
Barnet 1 Notts County 4 -0.3
-0.1
Hartlepool United 2 Maidenhead United 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Dagenham & Redb vs FC Halifax Town-3.1-0.6+4.0
-0.8-0.1+0.9
Chesterfield vs Wealdstone-0.7+0.7+1.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Boreham Wood vs Wrexham+0.8+0.1-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Wrexham vs Notts County-0.5+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Notts County vs Bromley+0.2+0.1-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Eastleigh vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Maidenhead United vs Sutton United-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the FC Halifax Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122Count
713-0-0No16.7%66131133,660,971
692-1-0No16.52457181071,995,511
682-0-1No14.2639401410105,292,656
671-2-0No11.412245274051,288,316
661-1-1No6.00630451710149,409,243
651-0-2No1.601938421010108,433,041
0-3-0No2.0011143386012,118,632
640-2-1No0.3022353211052,743,040
630-1-2No0.000739401210076,219,341
620-0-3No0.001143835111036,620,585
Total:No7.1%0716192320103100697,781,336
Points
Chance Will Win Championship