100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
TuesdayGW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.ChangeThursday
DallasLA Chargers114-0-01.000285900101.2NY GiantsDallas Cowboys
Clevelandat Houston112-2-0.8572290880501332.4+0.01DenverCleveland Browns
MinnesotaChicago113-1-0.92918910900102.8WashingtonMinnesota Vikings
ArizonaJacksonville111-3-0.7861027232235.6at San FranciscoArizona Cardinals
NY Jetsat Carolina111-3-0.78695305002456.2+0.33New EnglandNew York Jets
Tampa BayNew Orleans111-3-0.786219002317056.5at CarolinaTampa Bay Buccaneers
Denverat Cincinnati111-3-0.786617012404466.6+0.04at ClevelandDenver Broncos
New EnglandWMiami 34-1312-3-0.800114104111556.8-0.55at NY JetsNew England Patriots
HoustonCleveland110-4-0.71413631521446.8+0.04LA RamsHouston Texans
Chicagoat Minnesota19-5-0.643604212285652011.4-0.01CincinnatiChicago Bears
CarolinaNY Jets19-5-0.6436746818612910011.6Tampa BayCarolina Panthers
PittsburghDetroit19-5-0.643306511810421011.8+0.11at BaltimorePittsburgh Steelers
NY GiantsAtlanta19-5-0.643219515161781213513.9-0.03at DallasNew York Giants
TennesseeIndianapolis18-6-0.57138123615211454214.4-0.05at SeattleTennessee Titans
Kansas Cityat Buffalo18-6-0.5714271461211171911415.1-0.06LA ChargersKansas City Chiefs
Seattleat LA Rams18-6-0.571-6221010714201712615.4-0.07TennesseeSeattle Seahawks
CincinnatiDenver18-6-0.57120099182213181016.1-0.12at ChicagoCincinnati Bengals
Atlantaat NY Giants17-7-0.50010035129822301216.6-0.08New OrleansAtlanta Falcons
MiamiLNew England 13-347-8-0.467-8103102067018.5+0.43at BuffaloMiami Dolphins
Philadelphiaat Washington15-9-0.357-900562110652020.9+0.02OaklandPhiladelphia Eagles
San Franciscoat Green Bay15-9-0.357-7714292113139222.2+0.03ArizonaSan Francisco 49ers
BuffaloKansas City14-10-0.286-7310141718121216123.1-0.09MiamiBuffalo Bills
Indianapolisat Tennessee15-9-0.357-17361317162121623.2+0.03at JacksonvilleIndianapolis Colts
LA Chargersat Dallas15-9-0.357-37710141822227023.3-0.02at Kansas CityLos Angeles Chargers
Detroitat Pittsburgh14-10-0.286-81711121918823123.6+0.02Green BayDetroit Lions
New Orleansat Tampa Bay14-10-0.286-1221371092444224.8+0.01at AtlantaNew Orleans Saints
LA RamsSeattle13-11-0.214-11202377163027.2at HoustonLos Angeles Rams
Oaklandat Baltimore11-13-0.071-123103926168128.8at PhiladelphiaOakland Raiders
Green BaySan Francisco11-13-0.071-16563133228129.0at DetroitGreen Bay Packers
Jacksonvilleat Arizona11-13-0.071-131311263618629.7-0.01IndianapolisJacksonville Jaguars
BaltimoreOakland10-14-0.000-1612713304731.1+0.01PittsburghBaltimore Ravens
WashingtonPhiladelphia10-14-0.000-2681514354531.2at MinnesotaWashington Redskins

Lottery Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1
New England 34 Miami 13
100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets+0.2
Denver+0.0
New England-0.4
Houston+0.0
Pittsburgh+0.1
NY Giants-0.0
Tennessee-0.0
Kansas City-0.1
Seattle-0.1
Cincinnati-0.1
Atlanta-0.1
Miami+0.4
LA Chargers-0.0
Buffalo vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh11.411.512.1
Kansas City17.014.914.1
Buffalo21.623.724.0
LA Chargers23.923.223.0
Pittsburgh vs DetroitHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh11.411.713.0
Kansas City15.315.514.6
LA Chargers23.1*23.323.8
Detroit24.323.421.7
Cincinnati vs DenverHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Denver7.56.35.9
Houston6.37.37.3
Cincinnati14.915.917.2
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago11.611.711.1
NY Giants12.512.816.0
Atlanta17.717.614.9
Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee14.115.316.2
Indianapolis23.521.721.4
Green Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco23.421.721.2
Green Bay28.329.229.5
Arizona vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona5.46.56.6
Tampa Bay6.75.65.6
Jacksonville29.928.828.4
Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay6.56.67.2
LA Chargers23.323.323.8
New Orleans25.024.922.4
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle16.915.214.4
Carolina vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago11.811.311.0
Carolina10.612.412.8
NY Giants14.213.513.6
Houston vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland2.92.42.2
Denver7.16.36.4
Houston6.07.37.3
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia21.920.920.4
Washington30.331.631.6
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland29.428.928.1
Baltimore30.631.031.7
Washington31.431.530.9
Dallas vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers23.521.921.3
Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago11.811.310.3
Carolina11.511.912.1
Thursday, 5/3
NY Jets vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets3.96.69.0
New England9.06.44.0
Kansas City vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh12.111.511.4
Kansas City14.215.017.1
Buffalo22.923.523.5
LA Chargers24.022.321.8
Atlanta vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta16.117.918.1
LA Chargers23.223.223.8
New Orleans25.525.422.8
Cleveland vs DenverHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland2.02.54.5
Denver7.15.94.2
Houston6.87.67.0
Dallas vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas1.01.12.4
Minnesota3.02.91.6
Chicago11.312.112.1
Carolina11.512.112.2
NY Giants14.311.611.5
Seattle vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee15.714.313.3
Seattle13.815.216.9
Detroit vs Green BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers23.523.022.9
Detroit22.724.425.3
New Orleans25.024.924.4
Green Bay29.329.028.2
Jacksonville vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis24.022.121.7
LA Chargers23.123.623.7
Detroit23.423.923.9
Jacksonville29.229.330.7
Buffalo vs MiamiHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Miami18.918.917.9
Buffalo22.024.324.6
Chicago vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago10.812.212.6
NY Giants14.113.513.6
Cincinnati16.915.814.6
Baltimore vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh13.011.711.4
Kansas City14.615.415.3
Baltimore30.230.531.5
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay28.929.129.5
Washington31.2*31.229.7
Philadelphia vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia20.320.821.9
Oakland29.328.928.0
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona6.56.45.2
Tampa Bay5.75.76.8
San Francisco20.921.222.6
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona5.25.75.7
Tampa Bay7.16.46.3
Chicago12.111.611.1
Carolina10.211.612.2
Houston vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Denver6.75.95.9
Houston6.77.77.7
LA Rams27.326.526.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.