Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Plays NY Jets, playoff odds down 0.2 to 71.8%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Carolina vs NY Jets+26.2-16.7-29.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.4-0.6
NY Giants vs Atlanta-5.9-6.0+8.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco-2.8*-0.9+2.1
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle+2.6*-0.0-1.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago+1.1*-1.9-3.1
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.4*+1.1+0.9
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.2+0.8
Arizona vs Jacksonville-0.1*+1.3+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.5*+1.3-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.4*+2.0+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Cleveland+0.5*+2.1-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.1*-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+27.5*-0.6-11.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.8-0.0-0.3
Dallas vs NY Giants+1.9-12.5-12.4
+0.1-0.3-0.3
Seattle vs Tennessee-3.1*-1.9+2.9
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay+1.4*+0.5-3.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-1.0+3.2+2.9
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.9*+0.1+1.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+1.6*+1.0-0.5
Cleveland vs Denver-0.1*+1.4+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs LA Rams+0.1*+0.4-0.6
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.3*+0.1-0.4
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.5*+0.6+0.2
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In10001,297,278
10.51-0-198.5%772112,670
101-1-097.5593924,186,720
0-0-2In1002
9.50-1-138.763348143,850
90-2-018.0117562512,679,992
Total:71.8%462620808,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBMinnesotaArizonaTampa Bay
112-0-00.4%496
10.51-0-10.43564
101-1-00.514354
0-0-2No5050
9.50-1-10.202414
90-2-00.10117
Total:0.3%0.426.245.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs NY Jets-1.0+0.7+1.2
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.2+0.3+0.5
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.2+0.2-0.2
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Cleveland-0.0-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-1.4+0.0+0.6
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.1+0.5+0.5
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1+0.2-0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0
Houston vs LA Rams-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-010000
10.51-0-17710111
101-1-059142420
0-0-2100
9.50-1-160321530151
90-2-01017143826400
Total:468186129100