Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Plays at NY Giants, playoff odds down 0.01 to 2.9%
7-7-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs AtlantaOutOut+4.2
No*No+0.0
-0.5-0.5+0.7
Carolina vs NY JetsOutOut+3.3
No*No+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco+2.0*+0.7-1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
LA Rams vs Seattle+0.8-1.4-0.5
+0.2-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.4-1.1-0.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Tampa BayOutOut+1.2
No*No+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.9OutOut
+0.0*NoNo
+0.2-0.5-0.6
Dallas vs NY Giants+0.5OutOut
*+0.0*NoNo
+0.0-0.3-0.3
Detroit vs Green Bay-1.0*-0.0+2.2
Seattle vs Tennessee-1.1-1.7+1.0
-0.2-0.2+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona-1.0*-0.5+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
92-0-09.4%9592832,505,412
8.51-0-1Out20803,860
81-1-0Out20804,470,461
7.50-1-1Out1002,732
70-2-0Out86141,188,047
Total:2.9%318205728,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBMinnesotaArizonaTampa Bay
92-0-00.0%072
7-8.5No
Total:0.0%0.02.10.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Atlanta+1.1+1.0-1.7
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.2+0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2+0.2-0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.3
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.2+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.0+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.5+1.4+1.6
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.2+0.3
Seattle vs Tennessee-0.0+0.4+0.0
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.1+0.1-0.3
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.0+0.3+0.3
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.2
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-009153929710
8.51-0-11134442
81-1-011139455
7.50-1-15842
70-2-03664
Total:0351298223012