Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Plays at Buffalo, playoff odds down 0.004 to 20.4%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-8.1-12.6+20.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Buffalo vs Kansas City-19.7-17.8+10.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.8-0.3+0.4
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.7*+0.4+3.7
-0.1+0.3+0.4
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2*+0.5-0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh+20.8-12.4-8.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+9.2-17.6-19.7
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.8
Seattle vs Tennessee+1.3*+1.6-1.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.2*-1.4+0.3
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Cleveland vs Denver-0.0*No+0.0
Buffalo vs Miami+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-045.3%4536193,596,839
9.51-0-14.14484264,194
91-1-01.111371153,648,406
0-0-2Out1001
8.50-1-1Out337602,181
80-2-0Out205228918,891
Total:20.4%2022421338,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBClevelandNY JetsDenverHoustonNew England
102-0-00.2%0119241
9.51-0-10.10220
91-1-00.000010
0-0-2No
8-8.5No
Total:0.1%0.20.48.510.80.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs Kansas City+1.9-0.2-1.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.2+0.4-0.5
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2-0.2-0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.3-0.4
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.1-0.2+0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.2-0.2+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs LA Chargers+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.9-0.2+2.0
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.6+0.3+0.2
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1-0.3-0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1-0.2-0.2
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.0-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-015301328140
9.51-0-1042047281
91-1-0010011373912
0-0-2100
8.50-1-18324615
80-2-001115335
Total:714612111719114