Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Plays at Cincinnati, average seed down 0.02 to 3.3
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.4
Houston vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.2+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Denver-0.3*-0.1+1.2
-0.3+0.4+1.2
Houston vs LA Rams-0.0*-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.4+0.4
NY Jets vs New England-0.0*+0.3+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In741016768,463
12.51-0-1In334632,300
121-1-0In172284,251,133
0-0-2In1001
11.50-1-1In67334,186
110-2-0In8923,144,429
Total:In7142508,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNY JetsNew EnglandPittsburghKansas CityTennesseeCincinnati
132-0-03.3%841231
12.51-0-11.737471420
121-1-01.211215551520
0-0-2NoYes
11.50-1-10.91518501420
110-2-00.841516200
Total:1.2%8.322.227.432.08.51.40.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)