Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Plays at Tennessee, lottery seed up 0.03 to 23.2
5-9-0   .357

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.3-1.5-1.8
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.0+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.3
Houston vs Cleveland-0.2*-0.0+0.1
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.0+0.2+0.3
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.2-0.0+0.1
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.1+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.1-0.2-0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.1-0.2
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.9-1.1-1.5
Buffalo vs Miami+0.2-0.3-0.3
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.2-0.4-0.4
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.1-0.1+0.4
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.1+0.1+0.3
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2*+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.2
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Houston vs LA Rams-0.0+0.1+0.2
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0*-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs New England-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
72-0-0593650
6.51-0-1474570
61-1-07253923500
0-0-2100
5.50-1-11164231910
50-2-000212363911
Total:613171621216
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)