Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Plays Cleveland, average seed down 0.02 to 3.4
10-4-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Cleveland+0.7*-0.4-0.4
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.4*+0.4-0.3
+0.3-0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Denver-0.2*-0.8+0.9
+0.0-0.4-0.1
Houston vs LA Rams+0.1*-0.1-0.6
+0.1-0.4-0.4
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.5-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
122-0-0In89202,687,421
11.51-0-1In39613,975
111-1-0In38624,785,227
0-0-2In67333
10-10.5In100693,886*
Total:In353458,170,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNY JetsNew EnglandPittsburghKansas CityTennesseeCincinnati
122-0-05.0%800701930
11.51-0-14.1273430810
111-1-03.8283429810
0-0-2No333333
10.50-1-13.74654
100-2-03.44555
Total:4.2%2.720.024.640.010.81.60.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)