Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Plays Denver, playoff odds down 0.0009 to 0.4%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs DetroitOut+1.3+1.0
No*No+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.5+0.5Out
+0.0*NoNo
+0.4+0.4-0.4
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.6+0.3
-0.1+0.2+0.4
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.3+0.4-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh+1.0+1.1Out
+0.0*NoNo
Chicago vs CincinnatiOut+0.7+0.8
No*No+0.0
-0.3+0.5+0.5
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.3+0.4-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.1+0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Buffalo vs Miami+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-02.5%23347171,309,823
9.51-0-12.523248172,674
91-1-0Out122764,001,082
0-0-2Out33673
8.50-1-1Out117823,846
80-2-0Out58422,853,084
Total:0.4%061860158,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBClevelandNY JetsDenverHouston
102-0-00.0%012
9.51-0-1No0011
8-9No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.10.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.2-0.2+1.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.2+0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.2+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.2-0.3
Houston vs Cleveland+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.8-0.4-1.5
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.2+0.1-0.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1-0.4-0.3
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1-0.2+0.2
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Denver-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-011563560
9.51-0-1021639339
91-1-0073642141
0-0-2100
8.50-1-13235321
80-2-003195128
Total:00991822131810