Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Lost to New England 13-34, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0%
7-8-0   .467

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 Out
*No
-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.2-0.2+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.1-0.0-0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Miami-0.2-0.2+0.3
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
81-0-0Out0636583,468,103
7-7.5Out1004,702,409*
Total:Out0315828,170,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2+0.1-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.2+0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0+0.1-0.2
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.1+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs LA Chargers+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Miami+0.4+0.3-0.6
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1-0.0-0.3
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.2+0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
81-0-017243930
7.50-0-11585
70-1-05950
Total:031020670