Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Plays Kansas City, lottery seed down 0.09 to 23.1
4-10-0   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Kansas City-1.6+0.6+0.9
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.1+0.3+0.4
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.3+0.2+0.2
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1+0.4
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.3+0.3
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.0+0.3+0.3
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1-0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle+0.1+0.0-0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Miami-1.1+1.2+1.5
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.2+0.4+0.4
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.3+0.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.1-0.1+0.3
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.1+0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.1+0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.3+0.2-0.1
Houston vs LA Rams-0.0+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
62-0-0454410100
5.51-0-111233361620
51-1-011029351951
0-0-2100
4.50-1-11558251
40-2-0633574
Total:101417181212161
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)