How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.1
-1.3
+7.7
-0.9
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
*-0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.8
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.4
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.4
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.1
+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Botafogo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.3-0.2*-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.2-0.5-0.9
-9.3+2.5+7.7
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.2+0.7
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.2
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Brusque vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Remo vs CSA+0.2-0.2*-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Londrina*+0.1-0.5+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vitoria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
74-84YesYes100No433*
7319-4-192.9%Yes937No14*
7219-3-296.4Yes964No28*
7119-2-383.3Yes8317No66*
7018-4-278.9Yes79201No142*
6918-3-377.8Yes78202No225*
6818-2-459.2Yes593560No422*
6717-4-353.1Yes534061No762*
6617-3-442.9Yes4342132No1,189*
6516-5-332.499.8%32451930No2,032*
6416-4-420.798.9214228810No3,159*
6316-3-512.896.81336341430No4,899*
6215-5-46.992.27273722710No7,516*
6115-4-53.081.8316323014410No11,137*
6015-3-60.967.0182533229200No15,588*
5914-5-50.346.103142830176100No21,907*
5814-4-60.027.001719302613410No29,562*
5713-6-50.011.3002923302310300No39,716*
5613-5-6No3.5003122429208200No51,412*
5513-4-7No0.70014132629197100No65,261*
5412-6-6No0.10015152728176100No81,390*
5312-5-7No0.00016162827165100No98,242*
5212-4-8NoNo0016172827155100No116,902*
5111-6-7NoNo001719292614410No134,700*
5011-5-8NoNo00028202925123000.0%153,552*
4911-4-9NoNo00292230241020000.3169,886*
4810-6-8NoNo000311243022920002.0184,004*
4710-5-9NoNo00141326301961007.7194,254*
469-7-8NoNo00151729291541019.7202,837*
459-6-9NoNo00028213125112038.3204,407*
449-5-10NoNo003122632206158.8203,029*
438-7-9NoNo001518322913276.2196,915*
428-6-10NoNo000210263522588.3186,568*
418-5-11NoNo00141835321094.9171,933*
407-7-10NoNo0021031391898.0154,512*
397-6-11NoNo001623432899.4135,341*
387-5-12NoNo00316433999.8116,481*
376-7-11NoNo001103951100.097,545*
366-6-12NoNo00063262100.079,429*
356-5-13NoNo0032671100.063,443*
345-7-12NoNo011979Yes48,471*
335-6-13NoNo011486Yes36,258*
325-5-14NoNo001090Yes26,815*
314-7-13NoNo0694Yes19,077*
304-6-14NoNo0496Yes12,923*
294-5-15NoNo0298Yes8,609*
283-7-14NoNo199Yes5,462*
273-6-15NoNo199Yes3,386*
263-5-16NoNo0100Yes2,039*
252-7-15NoNo0100Yes1,156*
12-24NoNo100Yes1,684*
Total:0.1%1.9%00111222344567891011121345.8%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship