How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.2
-1.0
+1.6
-0.3
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.3
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.2
+0.6
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
-0.1
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.1
-0.2
Londrina 1 Remo 0 *+0.1
+0.4
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
Avai vs Remo-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.3-0.1+0.3
-2.0-0.9+2.6
+6.7+1.9-8.0
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Coritiba vs Nautico-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Vitoria vs Avai+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Brusque vs Confianca-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.3-0.4
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.1-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
76-87YesYes100No456*
7519-3-289.7%Yes9010No29*
7419-2-393.1Yes937No72*
7318-4-292.0Yes928No138*
7218-3-389.7Yes9010No224*
7118-2-486.3Yes86130No395*
7017-4-378.0Yes78211No722*
6917-3-471.7Yes722530No1,292*
6816-5-361.9Yes623260No2,016*
6716-4-452.499.9%5237910No3,197*
6616-3-539.999.940431520No4,916*
6515-5-429.399.4294521410No7,480*
6415-4-519.598.6204228910No11,128*
6315-3-611.395.811343516400No15,723*
6214-5-55.790.462536258100No21,762*
6114-4-62.479.52153131164100No29,803*
6013-6-50.962.817223224102000No39,718*
5913-5-60.242.703132730197100No51,336*
5813-4-70.023.4015172928154100No65,424*
5712-6-60.09.70028203025123000No81,562*
5612-5-7No2.90031023292210200No98,081*
5512-4-8No0.50003122529208200No116,835*
5411-6-7No0.10014142628197100No135,908*
5311-5-8No0.00015152728176100No153,779*
5211-4-9NoNo001616282716510000.0%169,618*
5110-6-8NoNo001618292714410No184,065*
5010-5-9NoNo000271930251330000.0195,299*
499-7-8NoNo00292130241130000.3202,691*
489-6-9NoNo00031124302292002.0205,075*
479-5-10NoNo00141326301961007.4203,179*
468-7-9NoNo00151729281540019.2195,706*
458-6-10NoNo0028223125102037.2185,983*
448-5-11NoNo0003122732206157.7170,747*
437-7-10NoNo001618322912275.3153,764*
427-6-11NoNo00210273521587.6135,538*
417-5-12NoNo00151835311094.5117,318*
406-7-11NoNo0021131391797.997,837*
396-6-12NoNo001624422799.379,001*
386-5-13NoNo00316433899.862,870*
375-7-12NoNo001103951100.048,594*
365-6-13NoNo0063361100.036,404*
355-5-14NoNo0032671100.026,574*
344-7-13NoNo011980Yes18,998*
334-6-14NoNo011486Yes13,116*
324-5-15NoNo0991Yes8,472*
313-7-14NoNo0694Yes5,564*
303-6-15NoNo0397Yes3,443*
293-5-16NoNo397Yes2,027*
283-4-17NoNo0199Yes1,191*
272-6-16NoNo199Yes604*
262-5-17NoNo199Yes349*
252-4-18NoNo298Yes155*
241-6-17NoNo199Yes81*
15-23NoNo100Yes461*
Total:0.5%4.9%0112234455677888887628.9%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship