How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 -0.7
-4.0
+4.6
-0.9
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.4
Brasil-RS 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.3
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.2
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.2
-0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Confianca vs Vila Nova-0.3-0.2+0.5
-2.3-1.0+3.0
+6.0+1.3-7.1
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Londrina vs Nautico+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Nautico vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Goias vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Remo vs Guarani+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
CSA vs Londrina+0.1-0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Nautico+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Avai vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-104YesYes100No133,256*
8927-3-397.6%Yes982No42*
87-88YesYes100No236*
8626-3-499.7Yes1000No347*
8525-5-399.7Yes1000No704*
8425-4-499.5Yes1000No1,286*
8325-3-599.1Yes991No2,470*
8224-5-498.9Yes991No4,364*
8124-4-598.2Yes9820No8,140*
8023-6-497.3Yes9730No14,232*
7923-5-595.9Yes9640No24,593*
7823-4-694.5Yes9450No41,409*
7722-6-592.4Yes9280No67,961*
7622-5-689.8Yes901000No109,946*
7521-7-586.1Yes861300No174,129*
7421-6-682.0Yes821710No270,671*
7321-5-776.8Yes772210No413,095*
7220-7-670.5100.0%7027200No617,625*
7120-6-763.3100.06332400No906,762*
7020-5-855.1100.05538700No1,307,581*
6919-7-746.3100.0464211100No1,853,397*
6819-6-837.299.93745162000No2,580,617*
6719-5-928.299.62845224000No3,532,508*
6618-7-820.098.920432881000No4,747,748*
6518-6-913.097.3133734132000No6,270,629*
6417-8-87.793.9830372051000No8,149,508*
6317-7-94.087.542136271020000No10,406,958*
6217-6-101.877.021330321751000No13,084,830*
6116-8-90.662.1172233251020000No16,153,804*
6016-7-100.244.3031328301861000No19,634,451*
5916-6-110.026.801619302613410000No23,467,159*
5815-8-100.013.100211243021920000No27,593,481*
5715-7-110.04.900141527281761000No31,894,831*
5615-6-120.01.30001618292614410000No36,270,200*
5514-8-11No0.30002921292411310000No40,584,324*
5414-7-12No0.00000311232922920000No44,655,467*
5313-9-11No0.0000014132529198200000.0%48,336,832*
5213-8-12No0.000015152628176100000.051,429,549*
5113-7-13No0.000001617272715510000.053,843,479*
5012-9-12NoNo00002719282513410000.155,415,629*
4912-8-13NoNo0000292129241130000.456,100,998*
4812-7-14NoNo0000311242921920002.155,797,342*
4711-9-13NoNo000141427291861007.154,585,658*
4611-8-14NoNo0000161829271440017.852,481,881*
4511-7-15NoNo00002923312392034.149,576,613*
4410-9-14NoNo00014142831175053.246,039,768*
4310-8-15NoNo00001721332710170.841,968,121*
4210-7-16NoNo0000313293418384.037,598,885*
419-9-15NoNo000017223627792.333,059,925*
409-8-16NoNo00031434361396.728,529,679*
399-7-17NoNo0001828422098.724,171,633*
388-9-16NoNo000421443099.620,091,222*
378-8-17NoNo000215434099.916,369,575*
368-7-18NoNo000193950100.013,073,465*
357-9-17NoNo00063460100.010,235,101*
347-8-18NoNo0032869100.07,851,358*
337-7-19NoNo0022276100.05,884,786*
326-9-18NoNo0011782100.04,325,125*
316-8-19NoNo001287Yes3,103,015*
306-7-20NoNo00991Yes2,175,607*
295-9-19NoNo00694Yes1,491,246*
285-8-20NoNo0496Yes995,186*
275-7-21NoNo0397Yes647,242*
264-9-20NoNo0298Yes411,094*
254-8-21NoNo0199Yes252,586*
244-7-22NoNo0199Yes151,368*
234-6-23NoNo0100Yes88,799*
223-8-22NoNo0100Yes49,757*
213-7-23NoNo0100Yes27,002*
203-6-24NoNo0100Yes14,083*
192-8-23NoNo0100Yes7,090*
5-18NoNo100Yes139,580*
Total:0.8%7.5%1223344555666777777626.8%1,071,299,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship