How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.7
+0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.6-0.2-0.4
+6.3-1.5-4.8
-1.1+0.1+0.9
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Nautico vs Brusque-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.3
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Avai vs Remo-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB+0.0+0.4-0.3
Botafogo vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.1
CSA vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Botafogo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama-0.4-0.2+0.5
-4.5-2.1+5.1
+1.2+0.2-1.1
-0.8-0.3+0.8
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Vitoria vs Avai+0.7+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.4+0.3+0.3
Brusque vs Confianca-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Remo vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9425-0-0100.0%Yes1000No196,700
88-92YesYes100No179*
8722-2-199.4Yes991No361
8622-1-299.5Yes1000No815*
8521-3-199.1Yes991No1,841*
8421-2-298.4Yes982No4,316*
8320-4-197.2Yes973No8,733*
8220-3-296.1Yes9640No18,095*
8120-2-394.0Yes9460No35,690*
8019-4-291.7Yes9280No66,546*
7919-3-388.2Yes88120No123,221*
7819-2-484.0Yes841600No217,735*
7718-4-378.9Yes792010No372,602*
7618-3-472.4Yes722620No626,320*
7517-5-365.3100.0%6532300No1,010,735*
7417-4-457.2100.05738500No1,598,612*
7317-3-548.4100.04843800No2,462,581*
7216-5-439.5100.0404812100No3,679,307*
7116-4-530.799.9315018200No5,370,366*
7015-6-422.699.82349244000No7,639,445*
6915-5-515.599.41646317100No10,592,998*
6815-4-69.998.510393812100No14,375,125*
6714-6-55.796.563141183000No19,027,787*
6614-5-63.092.5323412671000No24,607,935*
6514-4-71.485.51153733122000No31,124,482*
6413-6-60.575.01829372051000No38,448,674*
6313-5-70.261.004213627102000No46,429,508*
6213-4-80.045.1021331331741000No54,877,125*
6112-6-70.029.501622342592000No63,411,197*
6012-5-80.016.80031430321741000No71,638,627*
5911-7-70.08.10017223325102000No79,206,818*
5811-6-80.03.200031329311851000No85,644,992*
5711-5-90.01.0000162032261120000No90,561,199*
5610-7-8No0.300031227322061000No93,714,876*
5510-6-9No0.0000151832281330000No94,862,419*
5410-5-10No0.000021025332271000No93,894,481*
539-7-9No0.0000041630301540000No90,891,410*
529-6-10No0.00001722332592000No85,990,026*
519-5-11NoNo000313283218510000.0%79,549,418*
508-7-10NoNo000161932281230000.071,921,900*
498-6-11NoNo0000210253322710000.063,520,906*
488-5-12NoNo0000416303015400000.054,812,926*
477-7-11NoNo000172233251020000.246,179,450*
467-6-12NoNo000312283219610000.937,951,051*
457-5-13NoNo00151832281330003.330,430,719*
446-7-12NoNo00021025322281009.223,793,584*
436-6-13NoNo000041530301640020.218,121,587*
426-5-14NoNo0001822332592036.113,441,423*
415-7-13NoNo0003132932184054.59,699,812*
405-6-14NoNo001621342710171.66,801,484*
395-5-15NoNo000313303418384.64,636,663*
384-7-14NoNo0016223627792.73,061,119*
374-6-15NoNo00031434361397.01,960,785*
364-5-16NoNo001827422299.01,214,413*
353-7-15NoNo00420443299.7726,264*
343-6-16NoNo00213424499.9418,775*
333-5-17NoNo0173656100.0233,458*
322-7-16NoNo0042967100.0123,511*
312-6-17NoNo022276Yes63,159*
302-5-18NoNo011683Yes30,536*
292-4-19NoNo01189Yes14,237*
281-6-18NoNo0793Yes6,087*
271-5-19NoNo0496Yes2,711*
261-4-20NoNo397Yes998*
250-6-19NoNo0100Yes309*
240-5-20NoNo298Yes106*
22-23NoNo100Yes30*
190-0-25NoNo0100Yes196,700
Total:0.9%15.1%135789101010986543211002.1%1,581,648,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship