Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Nautico308-6-11335.4%+0.882.0%+0.1352314964321100000000002.8+0.010.0%1.568Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Coritiba2818-4-2831.3+0.778.5+0.13122151075322110000000003.10.02.560Coritiba Football Club
CRB2417-3-417.8+0.144.3-0.181113121110976532110000005.5-0.080.1-0.03.510Ponte PretaClube de Regatas Brasil
Goias267-5-387.3+0.342.7+0.371112121110976532110000005.6-0.060.1-0.05.519Goias Esporte Clube
AvaiTVitoria 0-0267-5-357.1-2.341.9-6.371012121110986542210000005.7-0.520.1+0.04.519Avai Futebol Clube
BrusqueWConfianca 3-02317-2-514.2+2.130.3+11.14791010101098754321000006.7+1.150.3-0.78.498Brusque Futebol Clube
Sampaio CorreaWBrasil-RS 2-1236-5-451.8+1.018.1+7.8246789101010987532100008.0+1.200.7-1.511.482Sampaio Correa Futebol Clube
GuaraniLVila Nova 1-4236-5-421.7-2.117.7-11.7245789101010987532100008.1-1.390.7+0.410.482Guarani Futebol Clube
Vasco da GamaLBotafogo 0-2226-4-521.2-1.514.4-9.6134678910101098642110008.6-1.331.1+0.57.470Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
BotafogoWVasco da Gama 2-0226-4-531.2+0.714.2+7.1134678910101098642110008.6+1.411.1-2.46.470Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Operario-PR216-3-6-60.5+0.08.1-0.11134567910101110964211009.8-0.212.3-0.113.457Operario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
CSA1815-3-6-10.3+0.04.3+0.10112345789111211974321011.1-0.125.4-0.512.437at RemoCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Vila NovaWGuarani 4-1184-6-500.1+0.01.8+1.2001122346810121312107532112.4+1.4610.3-12.79.420Vila Nova Futebol Clube
Remo1614-4-6-50.1+0.01.4+0.000011234568111213119642112.9-0.0813.9-1.214.412CSAClube do Remo
Ponte Preta1212-6-6-40.00.10000000111246912131414131016.2+0.0250.9-1.418.363at CRBAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
VitoriaTAvai 0-0132-7-6-30.0-0.00.1-0.00000000011235811131515141116.5-0.1454.5+1.117.359Esporte Clube Vitoria
Londrina132-7-6-50.00.10000000011235811131515141116.5+0.0454.5-1.415.359Londrina Esporte Clube
Cruzeiro132-7-6-70.00.0-0.00000000011235811131515141216.6+0.0156.0-0.816.359Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Brasil-RSLSampaio Correa 1-2122-6-7-50.0-0.00.0-0.0000000000112368111416181817.2-0.8067.0+12.020.347Gremio Esportivo Brasil
ConfiancaLBrusque 0-3102-4-9-120.00.0-0.000000000000123581115213518.2-0.5781.1+8.719.322Associacao Desportiva Confianca

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/30
Coritiba 3 Nautico 1
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-10.0
-4.0
-0.3
Coritiba+7.9
+8.7
+0.6
CRB+0.5
-0.6
Goias+0.2
-0.6
Avai+0.5
-0.7
Guarani+0.3
-0.6
Vitoria 0 Avai 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico+0.6
+0.4
Coritiba+0.6
+0.4
CRB+0.6
Goias+0.6
Avai-1.9
-4.4
-0.3
Brusque+0.4
Sampaio Correa+0.3
Guarani+0.4
Vasco da Gama+0.5
Remo*-0.1
Ponte Preta-0.2
Vitoria+0.9
-0.1
Londrina-0.1
Cruzeiro-0.1
Brasil-RS-0.1
Confianca-0.1
Guarani 1 Vila Nova 4
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico+0.5
+0.6
Coritiba+0.4
+0.7
CRB+1.0
Goias+1.0
Avai+1.0
Brusque+0.6
Guarani-1.6
-7.5
+0.3
-0.8
Vasco da Gama+0.7
Vila Nova+0.6
-7.8
+0.9
Ponte Preta+1.0
Vitoria+1.1
Londrina+1.1
Cruzeiro+1.0
Brasil-RS+1.0
Confianca+0.8
Goias 1 Operario-PR 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-0.4
CRB-0.5
Goias+1.6
+7.8
-0.2
+0.8
Avai-0.5
Operario-PR-0.5
-4.6
+0.6
-0.7
Botafogo 2 Vasco da Gama 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB+0.4
Goias+0.4
Avai+0.4
Vasco da Gama-1.1
-6.3
+0.4
-0.7
Botafogo+0.3
+3.8
-1.8
+0.9
Brusque 3 Confianca 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.3
-0.4
Coritiba-0.5
CRB-0.7
Goias-0.6
Avai-0.6
Brusque+0.8
+4.8
-0.5
+0.6
Vasco da Gama-0.5
Remo-0.4
Ponte Preta-0.6
Vitoria-0.6
Londrina-0.6
Cruzeiro-0.6
Brasil-RS-0.6
Confianca+4.7
-0.3
Brasil-RS 1 Sampaio Correa 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai-0.5
Sampaio Correa+0.4
+3.7
-1.2
+0.8
Vila Nova-0.4
Remo-0.5
Ponte Preta-0.8
Vitoria-0.8
Londrina-0.8
Cruzeiro-0.8
Brasil-RS+6.7
-0.5
Confianca-0.6
Cruzeiro 2 Londrina 2
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta-0.8
Vitoria-0.7
Londrina+1.9
-0.2
Cruzeiro+2.7
-0.2
Brasil-RS-0.8
Brusque vs CoritibaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba24.328.738.8
71.676.885.2
3.53.22.6
Brusque6.83.62.3
39.628.423.5
0.10.30.4
5.96.97.4
CRB vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB10.26.14.8
51.239.534.9
0.00.10.2
5.05.96.3
Ponte Preta56.451.439.5
16.616.315.5
Remo vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA0.10.20.4
2.63.56.6
7.85.82.9
11.811.310.2
Remo2.21.00.7
8.815.018.4
12.113.213.6
Week of 8/6
Coritiba vs GoiasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba38.728.523.6
85.176.671.2
2.63.23.6
Goias4.46.611.6
35.341.153.5
6.25.74.8
Sampaio Correa vs NauticoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico27.932.542.8
75.680.487.8
3.32.92.4
Coritiba33.932.728.5
78.378.878.4
Sampaio Correa3.21.50.9
25.616.613.1
0.30.71.0
7.18.28.6
Nautico vs ConfiancaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico40.530.526.4
86.178.474.3
2.53.13.4
Coritiba29.233.434.9
78.178.879.1
3.13.03.0
Confianca84.381.071.7
18.418.217.5
Brasil-RS vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico38.837.333.1
82.582.281.6
2.72.82.9
Coritiba23.527.136.7
70.975.083.4
3.63.32.7
Brasil-RS55.767.471.9
16.517.317.5
CRB vs BrusqueHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB11.06.65.0
53.741.435.3
4.85.76.2
Brusque2.63.66.5
23.128.539.8
0.40.30.1
7.46.95.8
Londrina vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB4.96.210.3
35.339.951.6
6.35.84.9
Londrina43.355.560.5
15.716.516.8
Avai vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai9.85.84.5
50.938.732.9
5.05.96.4
Guarani0.91.42.9
12.616.325.3
1.0*0.70.3
8.78.27.1
CSA vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai4.55.89.7
33.538.650.4
6.45.95.0
CSA0.50.20.1
7.13.72.6
2.95.67.3
10.211.211.7
Goias vs RemoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias9.75.74.5
50.338.533.6
5.05.96.4
Remo0.81.22.6
17.214.18.3
13.513.012.0
Brusque vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brusque5.63.22.4
36.426.222.3
0.10.30.6
6.17.17.5
Cruzeiro61.756.744.5
16.916.615.8
Vila Nova vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa1.01.42.8
12.815.724.0
1.10.70.3
8.88.37.2
Vila Nova3.11.41.0
6.110.813.5
11.512.613.0
Guarani vs Brasil-RSHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani2.41.20.9
22.414.511.8
0.30.81.4
7.48.58.9
Brasil-RS72.367.956.1
17.617.316.5
Operario-PR vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.70.92.0
9.812.520.0
1.61.10.4
9.38.87.7
Operario-PR0.90.40.3
11.86.85.1
1.12.53.4
8.910.110.6
Vasco da Gama vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama1.90.90.6
19.212.09.6
0.51.21.8
7.88.99.4
Vila Nova1.01.53.1
13.310.65.9
13.012.511.5
Vitoria vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama0.60.91.8
9.511.919.0
1.91.20.4
9.48.97.8
Vitoria43.756.061.0
15.716.616.9
Botafogo vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo1.80.80.6
18.511.69.3
0.51.21.9
7.99.09.4
Ponte Preta57.051.939.9
16.616.315.5
Remo vs Operario-PRHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR0.30.40.9
5.26.711.6
3.62.51.1
10.610.19.0
Remo2.31.10.7
8.814.818.1
12.113.113.6
Confianca vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA0.10.20.4
2.53.36.1
8.46.13.1
11.911.410.4
Confianca73.182.385.7
17.618.218.5
Ponte Preta vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta40.853.660.5
15.616.416.8
Londrina63.356.443.3
17.016.615.8
Cruzeiro vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria63.456.443.4
17.016.615.8
Cruzeiro45.658.765.6
15.916.717.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.