Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
PalmeirasFluminense2819-1-21231.0%-0.085.0%+0.13119131075432211100000003.5+0.010.2%-0.02Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MG2518-1-3617.1+0.072.8+0.11715131197654332111100004.9+0.010.7-0.06BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
FortalezaBragantino2417-3-21113.1-0.066.6+0.11313121198765433221110005.5+0.011.1-0.04Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Bragantinoat Fortaleza2416-6-0912.1+0.065.2+0.21213121198765433221110005.7+0.021.3-0.01Clube Atletico Bragantino
Athletico-PR2026-2-377.5-0.052.5+0.2799998876554332211107.0+0.032.9-0.13InternacionalClube Athletico Paranaense
Flamengo1836-0-486.8-0.050.1+0.1789998776554433221107.3+0.023.7-0.15Sao PauloClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Ceara1814-6-222.6+0.031.4+0.1345677777776655433219.4+0.028.4-0.110at Sport RecifeCeara Sporting Club
Bahia1715-2-5-12.1+0.028.7+0.1245567777776655443219.7+0.039.6-0.211at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
Fluminenseat Palmeiras1714-5-3-11.9+0.027.0+0.12345667777766655432110.0+0.0310.5-0.27Fluminense Football Club
Santos1614-4-401.4+0.023.1+0.11344566777777665543210.6+0.0413.0-0.38Atletico-GOSantos Futebol Clube
Atletico-GO1514-3-5-41.1-0.019.4+0.01234556677777766554211.2+0.0315.9-0.39at SantosAtletico Clube Goianiense
Corinthians1413-5-4-10.7+0.015.2+0.11123445566777777665312.0+0.0320.5-0.312Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Internacional1413-5-4-50.7+0.015.2+0.11123445566777777765312.0+0.0320.5-0.315at Athletico-PRSport Club Internacional
Cuiaba1222-6-3-20.6+0.013.3+0.01123344556677777776412.5+0.0324.1-0.314Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Juventude1313-4-5-60.5+0.012.5+0.11122344556677787776412.6+0.0424.3-0.417Esporte Clube Juventude
Sao Paulo1112-5-5-40.2+0.07.5+0.10111223445567788999713.9+0.0434.9-0.413at FlamengoSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife1012-4-6-40.2+0.06.0+0.00011223344566789101011914.4+0.0439.6-0.519CearaSport Club do Recife
America-MGTGremio 1-1102-4-7-80.1-0.03.8-0.800011122344567891012131315.2-0.2547.4+2.116America Futebol Clube-MG
GremioTAmerica-MG 1-1721-4-6-70.1-0.04.0-0.800011122334566791011131415.3-0.2449.1+2.018Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Chapecoense410-4-8-120.00.9+0.00000001111223457912183417.5+0.0372.6-0.420Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/24
Gremio 1 America-MG 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.1
Bragantino+0.1
Athletico-PR+0.2
-0.1
Flamengo+0.1
-0.1
Ceara-0.2
Bahia+0.1
-0.2
Fluminense+0.1
-0.2
Santos+0.1
-0.2
Atletico-GO+0.1
-0.3
Corinthians-0.4
Internacional-0.4
Cuiaba-0.3
Juventude-0.4
Sao Paulo-0.5
Sport Recife-0.5
America-MG-0.8
+2.1
-0.2
Gremio-0.8
+2.0
-0.2
Chapecoense-0.4
Palmeiras vs FluminenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras38.428.925.0
90.484.080.3
0.1*0.20.3
2.93.74.1
Atletico-MG15.617.718.2
*72.973.172.5
Fortaleza11.913.513.9
66.866.866.4
Bragantino11.012.513.0
*65.265.464.9
Athletico-PR6.87.88.0
*52.652.852.3
Flamengo6.27.17.3
*50.150.449.7
Fluminense1.01.63.2
20.624.634.8
14.011.36.6
10.910.38.9
Fortaleza vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras30.731.930.7
Fortaleza18.011.79.0
75.264.859.2
0.51.21.7
4.65.76.3
Bragantino8.110.916.8
57.563.473.9
1.91.30.6
6.45.84.8
Atletico-MG vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras29.631.732.0
Atletico-MG22.615.412.8
80.671.266.0
0.30.71.1
4.15.05.6
Fortaleza12.313.513.5
*66.766.966.4
Bragantino11.412.412.6
Bahia1.11.73.4
21.926.436.9
12.810.45.9
10.710.08.6
Athletico-PR vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras30.331.331.6
84.885.285.2
Athletico-PR10.56.55.1
61.650.344.8
1.53.14.3
6.07.27.8
Internacional0.40.61.2
10.513.521.0
26.021.914.2
12.912.310.9
Flamengo vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras30.331.431.6
84.785.385.2
Flamengo9.65.94.7
59.047.842.6
1.93.85.3
6.37.58.1
Sao Paulo0.10.20.4
4.76.310.9
41.936.926.6
14.714.212.9
Sport Recife5.86.16.1
39.039.340.3
America-MG3.7*3.93.9
46.847.148.0
Gremio3.9*4.04.1
48.648.849.7
Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara1.62.13.8
24.729.139.5
11.78.94.8
10.39.68.3
Sport Recife0.30.10.1
8.95.03.7
30.741.747.0
13.414.715.2
Santos vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos2.31.10.8
30.420.917.2
8.213.917.2
9.410.911.5
Atletico-GO0.60.81.7
14.017.526.1
20.716.910.4
12.111.410.1
Cuiaba vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians0.40.51.1
10.813.420.7
26.221.713.9
12.912.310.9
Cuiaba1.00.50.3
18.311.79.3
17.025.430.3
11.412.713.4
Juventude vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude0.90.40.3
17.210.98.7
17.025.630.7
11.512.813.5
Chapecoense0.40.71.5
79.174.864.6
18.017.616.8
Week of 7/31
Sao Paulo vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras25.228.938.2
80.584.090.3
0.3*0.20.1
4.03.73.0
Atletico-MG18.417.615.6
*72.873.072.6
Fortaleza14.113.411.8
*66.766.966.4
Bragantino13.112.510.9
Athletico-PR8.17.76.7
3.1*2.92.8
Flamengo7.47.16.2
*50.150.349.8
3.8*3.63.5
Corinthians0.8*0.70.6
21.1*20.419.9
12.0*12.011.9
Juventude0.6*0.60.5
12.5*12.612.3
24.924.123.7
Sao Paulo0.50.20.1
10.86.34.8
26.837.041.6
12.914.214.7
Sport Recife40.3*39.538.8
14.5*14.414.4
America-MG48.2*47.246.6
15.3*15.215.2
Gremio49.948.748.5
15.415.315.3
Chapecoense73.372.472.0
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras30.031.831.5
*85.185.384.9
Atletico-MG22.815.612.5
80.671.265.9
0.30.71.1
4.15.05.6
Athletico-PR4.76.510.8
44.750.361.8
4.23.11.5
7.87.26.0
Ceara vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras31.731.630.0
Atletico-MG17.617.516.4
Fortaleza9.411.717.6
59.264.875.2
1.71.20.5
6.25.74.7
Ceara4.02.11.4
40.029.124.3
5.19.011.3
8.39.610.3
Bragantino vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras29.831.432.0
84.7*85.185.3
3.63.53.5
Atletico-MG16.417.417.7
72.373.073.1
4.94.94.8
Bragantino16.310.88.7
73.563.358.0
0.5*1.32.0
4.85.86.4
Internacional14.815.315.4
20.020.321.1
Cuiaba12.9*13.413.5
23.623.924.7
Juventude12.212.612.6
23.724.124.9
Sao Paulo7.37.67.6
34.334.535.7
Sport Recife5.8*6.06.1
38.939.340.3
America-MG3.7*3.83.9
46.647.148.3
15.215.215.3
Gremio0.00.10.2
2.33.36.1
56.351.540.3
16.115.614.5
Chapecoense72.0*72.473.2
Corinthians vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras31.631.330.3
85.285.284.8
Flamengo4.75.99.6
42.547.859.1
5.33.81.9
8.17.56.3
Corinthians1.20.50.4
21.013.410.5
14.221.925.9
10.912.312.9
Gremio vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
1:11 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras31.531.330.3
85.385.284.7
Flamengo4.75.99.6
42.847.858.8
5.33.81.9
8.17.56.3
Sao Paulo7.7*7.57.2
35.634.734.3
Sport Recife6.1*6.05.8
40.3*39.438.9
America-MG3.93.93.7
48.147.046.8
Gremio0.20.10.0
6.13.32.3
40.251.556.4
14.515.616.1
Chapecoense73.272.472.1
Fluminense vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense3.01.61.1
34.824.720.6
6.311.214.3
8.910.210.9
Juventude0.30.40.9
8.511.017.4
30.425.817.2
13.512.811.5
Bahia vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia3.21.71.3
36.526.422.3
5.610.213.2
8.710.010.7
Sport Recife0.10.10.3
3.75.08.9
47.041.830.7
15.214.713.4
Chapecoense vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.81.12.2
17.520.930.1
17.413.78.1
11.510.89.5
Chapecoense1.50.60.4
64.774.879.0
16.817.618.0
Internacional vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional1.20.50.4
20.813.410.8
13.921.826.3
10.912.312.9
Cuiaba0.30.51.0
9.311.718.2
30.325.517.0
13.412.711.4
Atletico-GO vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO1.70.80.6
25.817.514.3
10.316.821.0
10.111.412.1
America-MG2.23.15.9
55.449.737.8
16.015.514.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.