Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
PalmeirasFluminense2819-1-21247.2%-0.197.4%+0.0472213852110000000000002.20.0%2.594Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MG2518-1-3618.1+0.089.2+0.018211814107432110000000003.60.0-0.06.557BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
Bragantinoat Fortaleza2416-6-0912.5+0.084.6+0.112181816129642111000000004.1+0.010.0-0.01.545Clube Atletico Bragantino
FortalezaBragantino2417-3-21111.7+0.083.0+0.012171716139643211000000004.20.0-0.04.545Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Athletico-PR2026-2-374.5-0.064.1-0.048111314131086432111000005.80.2-0.03.512InternacionalClube Athletico Paranaense
Flamengo1836-0-484.2-0.062.4+0.048111314131086432111000006.0+0.010.3-0.05.504Sao PauloClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Ceara1814-6-220.6+0.027.4+0.01235710111110987543211008.8+0.022.2-0.110.471at Sport RecifeCeara Sporting Club
Bahia1715-2-5-10.4+0.021.8+0.10124681011111098654321009.5+0.033.2-0.211.459at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
Fluminenseat Palmeiras1714-5-3-10.4-0.021.1+0.00124681011111098654321009.5+0.023.3-0.27.459Fluminense Football Club
Santos1614-4-400.2-0.015.7+0.00113468910101098654321010.3+0.035.2-0.38.446Atletico-GOSantos Futebol Clube
Atletico-GO1514-3-5-40.1-0.011.3+0.0001235789101099875421011.1+0.047.7-0.49.434at SantosAtletico Clube Goianiense
Corinthians1413-5-4-10.0+0.06.3-0.00001234678910101098643112.3+0.0413.9-0.612.422Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Internacional1413-5-4-50.0+0.05.5+0.00001234578910101098753112.6+0.0415.4-0.715.422at Athletico-PRSport Club Internacional
Cuiaba1222-6-3-20.04.1+0.000011234578910101010874113.2+0.0520.5-0.814.414Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Juventude1313-4-5-60.03.700011234578910101010874113.3+0.0520.5-0.817.409Esporte Clube Juventude
Sao Paulo1112-5-5-40.01.2+0.0000001123456891112121210415.0+0.0737.9-1.213.385at FlamengoSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife1012-4-6-40.00.7+0.0000000112345681012141513715.8+0.0648.3-1.119.373CearaSport Club do Recife
America-MGTGremio 1-1102-4-7-80.00.3-0.1000000011223468111417191116.6-0.2361.1+3.216.356America Futebol Clube-MG
GremioTAmerica-MG 1-1721-4-6-70.00.2-0.1000000001123457101317221517.1-0.2667.2+3.718.352Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Chapecoense410-4-8-120.00.00000000000001123510205819.1+0.0492.9-0.320.299Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/24
Gremio 1 America-MG 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara-0.1
Bahia-0.1
Fluminense-0.1
Santos-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.3
Corinthians-0.4
Internacional-0.4
Cuiaba-0.5
Juventude-0.6
Sao Paulo-0.7
Sport Recife-0.8
America-MG-0.1
+2.0
-0.1
Gremio-0.1
+2.4
-0.2
Chapecoense-0.2
Palmeiras vs FluminenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras53.543.439.0
98.596.995.7
2.02.32.5
Atletico-MG16.119.420.6
89.4*89.288.7
Bragantino11.013.414.3
84.884.784.0
Fortaleza10.412.613.4
83.383.182.4
Fluminense0.10.30.8
17.020.529.4
4.33.31.6
10.09.68.6
Fortaleza vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras47.048.546.6
Bragantino8.611.417.4
80.083.990.1
4.64.23.5
Fortaleza16.110.47.9
88.581.877.8
3.74.34.7
Atletico-MG vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras45.148.549.5
Atletico-MG22.515.613.1
92.887.884.4
3.23.74.1
Bragantino11.712.913.3
84.784.784.2
Bahia0.20.30.7
17.120.830.1
4.2*3.21.6
10.09.68.5
Athletico-PR vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR6.13.62.8
71.260.855.7
0.10.30.4
5.36.16.5
Internacional3.65.09.0
18.915.79.6
13.112.711.6
Flamengo vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR4.4*4.54.6
63.364.565.0
Flamengo5.63.32.5
69.158.954.0
0.10.30.6
5.46.26.6
Ceara26.727.928.4
2.1*2.22.3
Juventude3.53.83.9
20.0*20.421.5
Sao Paulo0.71.12.3
43.338.528.0
15.415.114.1
Sport Recife47.548.249.8
15.715.715.8
America-MG60.4*61.162.6
16.6*16.616.7
Gremio66.6*67.268.5
17.0*17.017.1
Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR64.964.563.2
Flamengo63.362.961.6
Ceara0.30.40.9
20.724.434.0
3.62.41.1
9.69.18.1
Cuiaba4.34.23.9
21.420.319.9
Juventude3.83.83.5
21.520.319.9
Sao Paulo39.237.637.1
Sport Recife1.20.50.3
38.249.854.9
15.015.916.3
America-MG62.460.960.4
16.716.616.6
Gremio68.467.066.5
17.117.017.0
Santos vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.30.10.1
21.013.710.9
2.95.77.5
9.510.611.1
Atletico-GO0.00.10.2
7.810.116.2
10.38.14.4
11.811.210.2
Cuiaba vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians4.15.49.2
18.414.78.7
13.012.511.5
Cuiaba6.13.32.5
14.121.826.3
12.413.413.9
Juventude vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude5.12.72.0
15.123.127.7
12.613.714.1
ChapecoenseNoNo0.0
95.193.488.5
19.319.118.7
Week of 7/31
Sao Paulo vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras38.743.053.0
95.796.898.4
2.52.42.0
Atletico-MG20.719.516.3
3.53.53.6
Bragantino14.513.411.1
4.04.14.1
Fortaleza13.612.710.5
4.24.24.3
Juventude21.6*20.520.0
13.4*13.313.3
Sao Paulo2.31.10.8
27.5*37.942.6
14.115.015.4
Sport Recife49.9*48.347.7
15.8*15.815.7
America-MG62.7*61.260.4
16.7*16.616.6
Gremio68.6*67.366.6
17.1*17.117.0
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras45.548.548.5
Atletico-MG23.116.013.1
93.188.284.7
3.13.74.1
Athletico-PR2.84.07.1
57.862.973.1
0.3*0.20.1
6.35.95.1
Bragantino vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras45.948.349.2
97.397.497.5
2.22.22.1
Bragantino15.310.18.2
88.481.978.3
3.74.34.7
Cuiaba4.04.14.2
20.0*20.521.5
13.213.213.3
Juventude3.63.73.8
20.0*20.521.6
Sao Paulo37.3*37.939.4
14.915.015.1
Sport Recife47.7*48.349.9
15.7*15.815.8
America-MG60.6*61.162.6
16.6*16.616.7
GremioNo0.00.1
0.10.20.5
71.767.456.6
17.417.116.3
Ceara vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras48.548.045.7
Fortaleza8.310.115.4
77.281.788.5
4.74.43.7
Ceara1.00.50.3
36.125.921.3
1.12.23.1
8.09.09.5
Corinthians vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo2.63.45.8
54.659.970.0
0.50.30.1
6.66.25.3
Corinthians9.75.54.0
8.814.517.6
11.412.512.9
Gremio vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
1:11 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR4.64.64.4
65.164.563.3
5.85.85.9
Flamengo2.63.35.6
54.258.969.0
0.60.30.1
6.66.25.4
Ceara28.427.926.7
2.3*2.22.1
Fluminense22.021.520.5
3.6*3.33.2
Cuiaba4.34.23.9
21.4*20.419.9
Juventude3.93.83.5
21.520.420.0
Sao Paulo39.237.737.2
15.015.014.9
Sport Recife49.748.247.6
15.815.715.7
America-MG62.461.060.5
16.716.616.6
Gremio0.50.20.1
57.468.272.4
16.417.117.4
Fluminense vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.60.20.2
27.118.515.2
1.83.75.2
8.89.810.3
Juventude2.33.25.9
25.221.313.6
13.913.412.4
Bahia vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.60.20.2
27.418.915.7
1.73.65.2
8.89.810.3
Sao Paulo37.237.639.1
Sport Recife0.40.61.3
54.649.537.8
16.215.914.9
America-MG60.460.962.4
16.616.616.7
Gremio66.667.068.4
17.017.017.1
Chapecoense vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.10.10.3
10.613.019.9
8.06.13.2
11.110.79.7
Chapecoense0.0NoNo
88.793.494.9
18.719.119.2
Atletico-GO vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO15.09.37.5
4.78.611.6
10.411.411.9
Sao Paulo37.437.638.9
Sport Recife47.848.049.4
America-MGNo0.00.0
0.10.20.5
67.562.450.6
17.116.715.9
Internacional vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional8.04.63.4
10.016.620.6
11.812.813.3
Cuiaba2.63.56.2
25.821.413.7
13.913.412.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.