How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.3
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampaio Correa vs CRB+2.0-0.7-1.6
+7.5-2.1-6.2
-2.9+0.5+2.6
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Nautico vs Brusque-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CSA vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs CSA+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Confianca vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa-1.5-0.7+1.9
-5.7-2.2+7.1
+2.9+0.4-3.1
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.2+0.3-0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.1+0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.2
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.4+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Remo vs CSA-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Correa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-95YesYes100No65,727*
8722-1-299.1%Yes991No107*
84-86YesYes100No2,093*
8320-3-299.9Yes1000No2,585*
8220-2-399.9Yes1000No5,356*
8119-4-299.8Yes1000No10,428*
8019-3-399.5Yes1000No18,998*
7919-2-499.2Yes991No34,595*
7818-4-398.9Yes9910No60,673*
7718-3-498.0Yes9820No105,159*
7617-5-397.0Yes9730No174,896*
7517-4-495.4Yes9550No283,667*
7417-3-593.1Yes93700No447,496*
7316-5-490.1Yes901000No689,112*
7216-4-586.0Yes861410No1,033,874*
7115-6-480.4100.0%8018100No1,514,663*
7015-5-573.6100.07424200No2,163,462*
6915-4-665.3100.065304000No3,023,244*
6814-6-555.7100.056377100No4,120,172*
6714-5-645.399.94542121000No5,495,777*
6614-4-734.699.83544183000No7,176,018*
6513-6-624.499.324442561000No9,147,972*
6413-5-715.798.0163932112000No11,407,163*
6313-4-88.994.8931361951000No13,923,787*
6212-6-74.488.34223626102000No16,610,514*
6112-5-81.877.0213303217510000No19,400,982*
6011-7-70.660.4162133261120000No22,199,325*
5911-6-80.140.8021227312071000No24,833,380*
5811-5-90.022.40151730281541000No27,191,163*
5710-7-80.09.400182130251130000No29,140,933*
5610-6-90.02.8000311243021920000No30,547,172*
5510-5-100.00.60001413262919710000No31,346,344*
549-7-9No0.1000151628281651000No31,466,766*
539-6-10No0.0000161728271551000No30,891,066*
529-5-11No0.00001719292613410000.0%29,670,456*
518-7-10NoNo0002820292412300000.027,863,808*
508-6-11NoNo00002922292311300000.025,570,337*
498-5-12NoNo0000311232922920000.322,941,285*
487-7-11NoNo0001412252920820001.820,106,490*
477-6-12NoNo000151527291761006.917,195,512*
467-5-13NoNo000161829271441018.714,353,687*
456-7-12NoNo000029213124102037.111,690,229*
446-6-13NoNo00003122631206158.19,280,360*
436-5-14NoNo0001518312913276.27,175,370*
425-7-13NoNo000029253523588.45,403,623*
415-6-14NoNo00141734331195.23,959,617*
405-5-15NoNo00021029402098.32,817,421*
394-7-14NoNo001521433199.51,945,208*
384-6-15NoNo00214414399.91,302,700*
374-5-16NoNo00183655100.0844,439*
363-7-15NoNo0043066100.0528,364*
353-6-16NoNo0022375100.0318,969*
343-5-17NoNo011683Yes185,769*
332-7-16NoNo001188Yes103,448*
322-6-17NoNo0793Yes55,921*
312-5-18NoNo0595Yes28,514*
302-4-19NoNo0397Yes13,714*
291-6-18NoNo298Yes6,332*
281-5-19NoNo199Yes2,832*
271-4-20NoNo0100Yes1,101*
261-3-21NoNo0100Yes392*
20-25NoNo100Yes65,833*
Total:4.0%23.3%467777777665544332116.9%527,966,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship