How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 +0.8
+4.3
-5.1
+1.0
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.3
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.2
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.2
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
CSA 1 Londrina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-1.1-0.4+1.7
-5.0-1.4+7.2
+2.5+0.4-3.3
-0.8-0.2+1.1
Londrina vs Nautico+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Avai-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Remo vs Guarani+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo+1.4-0.5-1.2
+6.3-2.0-5.6
-3.1+0.7+3.0
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Remo vs Sampaio Correa-1.1-0.5+1.4
-5.2-1.8+6.4
+2.9+0.5-3.3
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Nautico vs Remo-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
CRB vs Nautico+0.4+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Guarani vs Coritiba*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.3*-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Avai vs CRB+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Correa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
92-107YesYes100No141,965*
9126-5-299.8%Yes1000No442*
9026-4-3YesYes100No888*
8926-3-499.8Yes1000No1,733*
8825-5-399.7Yes1000No3,440*
8725-4-499.8Yes1000No6,029*
8624-6-399.5Yes991No11,154*
8524-5-499.2Yes991No19,499*
8424-4-598.7Yes991No33,578*
8323-6-498.2Yes9820No56,124*
8223-5-597.4Yes9730No93,335*
8123-4-696.4Yes9640No149,823*
8022-6-595.1Yes9550No237,491*
7922-5-693.3Yes93700No366,048*
7821-7-591.0Yes91900No556,011*
7721-6-688.1Yes881200No825,549*
7621-5-784.5Yes841500No1,204,741*
7520-7-680.1100.0%8019100No1,724,327*
7420-6-774.9100.07524100No2,423,633*
7320-5-868.9100.06929200No3,347,548*
7219-7-761.9100.06234300No4,539,377*
7119-6-854.4100.054406000No6,045,924*
7018-8-746.2100.046449100No7,918,843*
6918-7-837.799.9384813100No10,190,510*
6818-6-929.599.82949193000No12,884,658*
6717-8-821.799.52247255000No16,023,611*
6617-7-914.998.815433291000No19,571,973*
6517-6-109.497.0936371530000No23,532,171*
6416-8-95.393.45283822610000No27,804,972*
6316-7-102.786.931936291120000No32,322,128*
6216-6-111.176.311230331851000No36,954,953*
6115-8-100.461.6062234261020000No41,537,154*
6015-7-110.144.1021329311861000No45,946,138*
5914-9-100.026.901620312612300000No49,959,678*
5814-8-110.013.400211253021820000No53,430,534*
5714-7-120.05.2001515282817610000No56,196,303*
5613-9-110.01.50001719292513410000No58,129,500*
5513-8-12No0.300021022292310300000No59,154,725*
5413-7-13No0.00001312242920920000No59,183,281*
5312-9-12No0.000014142628187200000.0%58,223,164*
5212-8-13No0.0000016162727166100000.056,323,075*
5112-7-14No0.0000017182826145100000.053,546,718*
5011-9-13NoNo00002820292412410000.050,039,166*
4911-8-14NoNo000031022292310300000.445,949,530*
4811-7-15NoNo0001312242920820001.941,476,188*
4710-9-14NoNo000151527281761006.736,786,181*
4610-8-15NoNo0000171929271330017.132,035,086*
4510-7-16NoNo000021023312392033.327,394,407*
449-9-15NoNo000014142831174052.523,007,775*
439-8-16NoNo0001721332710170.418,971,116*
429-7-17NoNo0000313293418383.815,337,276*
418-9-16NoNo00017223627792.212,164,218*
408-8-17NoNo00031434361396.79,459,266*
398-7-18NoNo0001828422098.77,213,607*
387-9-17NoNo000421443099.65,389,785*
377-8-18NoNo000215434099.93,943,069*
367-7-19NoNo00193950100.02,823,026*
356-9-18NoNo00063460100.01,975,835*
346-8-19NoNo00032869100.01,353,537*
336-7-20NoNo0022276100.0905,309*
325-9-19NoNo011782Yes590,307*
315-8-20NoNo001287Yes375,321*
305-7-21NoNo00991Yes234,487*
294-9-20NoNo00694Yes140,793*
284-8-21NoNo0496Yes82,738*
274-7-22NoNo0397Yes47,135*
263-9-21NoNo0298Yes26,187*
253-8-22NoNo199Yes13,982*
243-7-23NoNo199Yes7,176*
233-6-24NoNo0100Yes3,515*
222-8-23NoNo0100Yes1,718*
212-7-24NoNo0100Yes773*
202-6-25NoNo0100Yes344*
8-19NoNo100Yes141,839*
Total:3.3%23.2%367777776665554433218.9%1,138,513,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship