How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.1
-0.1
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.4
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.2
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.2
-0.1
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.2
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
CSA 1 Londrina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Remo vs Guarani+0.8-0.3-0.6
+4.5-1.4-3.7
-5.1+1.1+4.5
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Londrina vs Nautico+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.0-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.2
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Goias vs Avai-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico vs Remo-0.7-0.1+1.2
-3.0-0.7+5.5
+3.3+0.3-5.6
-0.7-0.1+1.2
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.8-0.3-0.6
+4.5-1.4-3.7
-5.1+1.1+4.5
+1.0-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Nautico+0.2+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Avai vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Remo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-107YesYes100No194,540*
8927-3-499.6%Yes1000No481*
8826-5-399.8Yes1000No971*
8726-4-499.9Yes1000No1,767*
8625-6-399.4Yes991No3,529*
8525-5-499.2Yes991No6,279*
8425-4-598.7Yes991No11,478*
8324-6-498.4Yes982No19,976*
8224-5-597.6Yes982No34,017*
8124-4-696.6Yes9730No57,080*
8023-6-595.3Yes9550No93,504*
7923-5-693.6Yes9460No150,551*
7822-7-591.3Yes9190No238,688*
7722-6-688.4Yes881100No369,333*
7622-5-785.1Yes851500No562,643*
7521-7-680.8Yes811910No840,000*
7421-6-775.5Yes762310No1,229,674*
7321-5-869.6100.0%7028200No1,776,263*
7220-7-762.8100.06334300No2,513,581*
7120-6-855.2100.055395000No3,498,256*
7019-8-746.9100.047449100No4,784,777*
6919-7-838.499.9384713100No6,426,221*
6819-6-930.099.83049193000No8,500,520*
6718-8-822.199.52247255000No11,054,605*
6618-7-915.198.715433191000No14,128,175*
6518-6-109.597.01036361530000No17,771,685*
6417-8-95.493.3528382261000No21,992,950*
6317-7-102.786.63193629112000No26,757,524*
6217-6-111.175.811130331851000No32,045,560*
6116-8-100.460.8062133261120000No37,772,935*
6016-7-110.143.2021328311861000No43,790,703*
5915-9-100.026.101619312613310000No49,969,272*
5815-8-110.012.900210243021920000No56,098,914*
5715-7-120.04.9001415272817610000No61,975,823*
5614-9-110.01.40001718292614410000No67,372,742*
5514-8-120.00.300002921292311300000No72,087,543*
5414-7-13No0.00000311242921920000No75,860,382*
5313-9-12No0.000014132528197200000.0%78,588,178*
5213-8-13No0.0000015152727176100000.080,052,779*
5113-7-14No0.000001617282615510000.080,246,632*
5012-9-13NoNo00002820292513410000.079,134,645*
4912-8-14NoNo000021022292311300000.476,704,338*
4812-7-15NoNo0001312242921820002.073,170,703*
4711-9-14NoNo0000151527291761006.868,601,770*
4611-8-15NoNo0000171829271330017.363,236,750*
4511-7-16NoNo000021023312392033.557,298,923*
4410-9-15NoNo00014142831174052.751,031,545*
4310-8-16NoNo0001721332710170.544,650,504*
4210-7-17NoNo0000313293418383.938,370,720*
419-9-16NoNo00017223627792.332,395,205*
409-8-17NoNo00031434361396.726,836,436*
399-7-18NoNo0001828422198.821,828,084*
388-9-17NoNo000421443099.617,422,894*
378-8-18NoNo000214434099.913,629,463*
368-7-19NoNo000193951100.010,453,654*
357-9-18NoNo00053361100.07,864,089*
347-8-19NoNo00032770100.05,790,441*
337-7-20NoNo0022177100.04,175,200*
326-9-19NoNo0011683100.02,943,360*
316-8-20NoNo001288Yes2,028,306*
306-7-21NoNo00892Yes1,366,935*
295-9-20NoNo0694Yes899,913*
285-8-21NoNo00496Yes577,745*
275-7-22NoNo0298Yes361,748*
264-9-21NoNo0298Yes220,128*
254-8-22NoNo0199Yes130,804*
244-7-23NoNo199Yes74,934*
233-9-22NoNo0100Yes42,106*
223-8-23NoNo0100Yes22,858*
213-7-24NoNo0100Yes12,090*
203-6-25NoNo0100Yes5,902*
5-19NoNo100Yes199,196*
Total:1.5%13.3%2345556666666666554317.5%1,560,361,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship