How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.7
-9.2
+0.9
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.3
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.4
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.5
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Botafogo vs CSA+0.2-0.3*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.9-0.5+1.2
+7.8+2.6-9.4
-0.8-0.3+1.0
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.3-0.6
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.6
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.4-0.3-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.2-0.5+0.2
Remo vs CSA+0.3-0.3*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8424-0-0YesYes100No418
7721-2-166.7%Yes6733No3
73-76YesYes100No32*
7219-3-286.5Yes8614No37*
7119-2-390.9Yes9181No77*
7018-4-280.3Yes8020No127*
6918-3-374.9Yes75223No263*
6818-2-464.2Yes643230No430*
6717-4-359.699.9%6033700No737*
6617-3-441.199.941441320No1,241*
6516-5-330.699.5314421300No2,038*
6416-4-423.098.5233929710No3,283*
6316-3-512.197.11236351530No5,064*
6215-5-46.691.97263623710No7,588*
6115-4-52.881.8316332914400No11,093*
6015-3-61.065.618243224820No15,787*
5914-5-50.346.903152929176100No22,097*
5814-4-60.126.2016193026134100No29,520*
5713-6-50.011.10029223023103000No39,689*
5613-5-6No3.6003122429219200No51,579*
5513-4-7No0.60014132629197200No65,922*
5412-6-6No0.10015152728176100No80,822*
5312-5-7No0.00015162728165100No98,660*
5212-4-8NoNo0016172827155100No117,337*
5111-6-7NoNo00171829261441000.0%135,406*
5011-5-8NoNo0028203025123000.0153,331*
4911-4-9NoNo0029223024113000.3170,220*
4810-6-8NoNo00311243022920002.1184,240*
4710-5-9NoNo000141326301961007.7195,227*
469-7-8NoNo00151629291541019.9201,822*
459-6-9NoNo0018213125112038.3204,893*
449-5-10NoNo0003122632206159.0202,324*
438-7-9NoNo001518322913276.1196,588*
428-6-10NoNo00210263522588.2185,159*
418-5-11NoNo00141835321095.1171,825*
407-7-10NoNo0021030401898.1154,729*
397-6-11NoNo001523432899.4136,115*
387-5-12NoNo00215424099.8115,942*
376-7-11NoNo00193852100.097,276*
366-6-12NoNo0053262100.079,028*
356-5-13NoNo032572Yes62,780*
345-7-12NoNo011880Yes48,617*
335-6-13NoNo011386Yes36,517*
325-5-14NoNo0991Yes26,872*
314-7-13NoNo0694Yes18,732*
304-6-14NoNo0397Yes12,997*
294-5-15NoNo0298Yes8,441*
283-7-14NoNo298Yes5,534*
273-6-15NoNo199Yes3,392*
263-5-16NoNo0100Yes2,077*
253-4-17NoNo0100Yes1,155*
12-24NoNo100Yes1,637*
Total:0.2%1.9%00111222344567891011121345.8%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship