How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico vs Parana-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Parana vs Botafogo-SP+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Parana vs CSA+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
93-114YesYes100No1,225,840*
9229-5-4100.0%Yes1000No3,280*
9129-4-5YesYes100No6,217*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No11,333*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No20,671*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No36,273*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No62,664*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No106,021*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No175,868*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No290,113*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No462,534*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No730,611*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No1,129,656*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,730,119*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,594,555*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No3,829,520*
7723-8-798.3Yes98200No5,561,458*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No7,949,789*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No11,192,591*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No15,498,517*
7322-7-991.8100.0%928000No21,130,687*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No28,387,034*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No37,566,796*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No48,966,135*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No62,879,700*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No79,570,950*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No99,224,613*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No121,910,635*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No147,617,836*
6419-7-1220.398.120402810200000No176,171,550*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No207,241,178*
6218-8-126.489.262435249200000No240,311,731*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No274,613,569*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No309,343,987*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No343,513,401*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No375,995,616*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No405,693,502*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000000.0%431,430,064*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0452,266,608*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0467,226,643*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0475,692,007*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0477,306,416*
5114-9-15No0.00000141224282092000000.0471,989,590*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132428208200000.3459,834,815*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7441,400,643*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.1417,402,769*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3388,827,232*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1356,748,040*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.1322,259,450*
4412-8-18NoNo000001517313014276.9286,694,509*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029243524688.7251,066,594*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.2216,389,378*
4111-8-19NoNo00002929402098.2183,529,012*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.4153,168,922*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.8125,701,487*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.0101,463,645*
379-10-19NoNo000053164100.080,509,310*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.062,777,954*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.048,119,146*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.036,200,679*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.026,752,798*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes19,399,070*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes13,798,022*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes9,623,858*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes6,567,618*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes4,401,215*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes2,880,898*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes1,847,220*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes1,158,688*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes707,414*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes423,028*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes245,515*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes139,495*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes76,600*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes41,219*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes21,488*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes10,765*
0-16NoNo100Yes1,232,106*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%9,830,088,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship