How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +1.5
+6.2
-4.1
+1.1
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.3
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.4
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.1
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1
-0.2
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.2
-0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.2
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Avai vs Remo-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.1+0.4-0.2
Botafogo vs CSA*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias vs Operario-PR-1.6-0.7+2.0
-6.2-2.2+7.6
+2.6+0.5-2.9
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.1+0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.3*-0.1
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.2
*+0.1+0.4-0.3
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.2*+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.2
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Londrina*+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
81-93YesYes100No489*
8019-2-398.4%Yes982No64*
7918-4-299.3Yes991No137*
7818-3-399.6Yes1000No247*
7718-2-499.1Yes991No443*
7617-4-396.8Yes973No686*
7517-3-496.2Yes964No1,275*
7416-5-394.3Yes9460No2,068*
7316-4-492.5Yes9370No3,332*
7216-3-588.6Yes89110No4,904*
7115-5-483.9Yes84151No7,472*
7015-4-577.2Yes772110No10,908*
6915-3-670.3100.0%7027300No15,568*
6814-5-561.3Yes613350No21,721*
6714-4-651.2100.05139910No29,596*
6613-6-540.899.9414314200No39,856*
6513-5-629.699.6304421400No51,433*
6413-4-719.998.62042288100No65,373*
6312-6-611.996.312353415300No81,495*
6212-5-76.391.262636237100No98,347*
6112-4-82.781.43163330144000No116,996*
6011-6-70.966.21824332392000No135,606*
5911-5-80.246.803142930175100No153,809*
5811-4-90.127.0017203026133100No170,214*
5710-6-80.012.100210233022102000No184,164*
5610-5-90.03.90003132629197200No195,731*
559-7-8No0.90015152728176100No202,365*
549-6-9No0.10016172827155100No204,834*
539-5-10No0.000171929261341000No203,234*
528-7-9NoNo0028203025123000No195,830*
518-6-10NoNo000292230231030000.0%185,034*
508-5-11NoNo00311233022920000.0171,643*
497-7-10NoNo00031225302082000.2153,859*
487-6-11NoNo00141427291861001.2135,403*
477-5-12NoNo0016172928154105.1116,385*
466-7-11NoNo00282030251230014.797,451*
456-6-12NoNo00031125312181030.679,183*
446-5-13NoNo0014152930174051.062,986*
435-7-12NoNo001721332610170.048,694*
425-6-13NoNo00313283319484.236,754*
415-5-14NoNo016203628892.826,760*
404-7-13NoNo0031332371597.119,023*
394-6-14NoNo01725432599.013,133*
384-5-15NoNo00418433599.78,596*
373-7-14NoNo0111404799.95,529*
363-6-15NoNo163459Yes3,372*
353-5-16NoNo042868Yes1,960*
342-7-15NoNo12178Yes1,110*
332-6-16NoNo11683Yes623*
322-5-17NoNo1991Yes301*
312-4-18NoNo991Yes164*
301-6-17NoNo496Yes67*
291-5-18NoNo2493Yes46*
26-28NoNo100Yes27*
251-1-22NoNo5050Yes2*
210-0-24NoNo100Yes418
Total:3.9%22.5%466777777766554332116.6%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship