How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 +1.9
+6.3
-2.6
+0.9
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.7
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.3
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR-2.6-1.3+2.5
-7.3-3.2+6.8
+1.6+0.4-1.3
-0.8-0.3+0.7
Londrina vs Nautico+1.2+0.6-1.0
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
Remo vs Guarani+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.3
Goias vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova+2.6-1.3-2.6
+7.1-3.1-7.5
-1.3+0.4+1.5
+0.8-0.3-0.8
Operario-PR vs Confianca+2.5-1.3-2.6
+6.9-3.2-7.5
-1.3+0.4+1.6
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Nautico vs Remo-1.0+0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
CRB vs Nautico+1.0+0.5-1.0
-0.2+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.5+0.4+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.4-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Avai vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Operario-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
94-109YesYes100No125,686*
9326-5-299.8%Yes1000No1,316*
9226-4-3YesYes100No2,625*
9126-3-499.9Yes1000No5,062*
9025-5-399.9Yes1000No9,014*
8925-4-499.8Yes1000No16,102*
8824-6-399.8Yes1000No27,961*
8724-5-499.6Yes1000No48,309*
8624-4-599.4Yes991No79,530*
8523-6-499.1Yes991No129,801*
8423-5-598.7Yes9910No205,837*
8323-4-698.1Yes9820No320,959*
8222-6-597.4Yes9730No488,977*
8122-5-696.3Yes9640No731,505*
8021-7-595.0Yes9550No1,070,426*
7921-6-693.2Yes9370No1,537,122*
7821-5-790.9Yes91900No2,168,011*
7720-7-688.0Yes881200No3,000,524*
7620-6-784.5Yes851500No4,075,382*
7520-5-880.3Yes801910No5,437,355*
7419-7-775.2100.0%7524100No7,120,301*
7319-6-869.3100.06929200No9,158,396*
7218-8-762.6100.06334300No11,585,368*
7118-7-855.2100.055405000No14,389,808*
7018-6-947.2100.047448000No17,581,650*
6917-8-839.0100.03948121000No21,097,421*
6817-7-930.799.93150172000No24,899,918*
6717-6-1022.999.723492440000No28,881,153*
6616-8-916.099.116453081000No32,956,160*
6516-7-1010.397.61039361320000No36,974,002*
6416-6-116.094.6630392051000No40,805,580*
6315-8-103.088.9321382792000No44,253,391*
6215-7-111.379.311332331641000No47,217,610*
6114-9-100.565.30724342492000No49,551,705*
6014-8-110.148.00315303016510000No51,143,224*
5914-7-120.030.30172231241130000No51,904,788*
5813-9-110.015.700313263019720000No51,809,997*
5713-8-120.06.4001517292715510000No50,840,505*
5613-7-130.01.90002821292412310000No49,065,590*
5512-9-120.00.40000311232921920000No46,536,095*
5412-8-13No0.10001413252819820000No43,422,386*
5312-7-14No0.000015152627176100000.0%39,806,688*
5211-9-13No0.000001617272615510000.035,872,891*
5111-8-14No0.000002719282514410000.031,762,848*
5011-7-15NoNo00002920292412310000.027,639,830*
4910-9-14NoNo00003102229221030000.423,619,155*
4810-8-15NoNo0001412252920820001.919,833,721*
4710-7-16NoNo000151527281761006.816,350,055*
469-9-15NoNo0000171829271340017.513,225,652*
459-8-16NoNo000021023312392034.210,503,957*
449-7-17NoNo00014142831185053.88,184,642*
438-9-16NoNo00001720332711171.76,257,357*
428-8-17NoNo000312283419484.84,681,320*
418-7-18NoNo00016213628892.93,438,558*
407-9-17NoNo00031333371497.12,475,547*
397-8-18NoNo0001827422298.91,744,061*
387-7-19NoNo000420443299.61,202,076*
376-9-18NoNo00213424399.9809,824*
366-8-19NoNo00183853100.0533,107*
356-7-20NoNo00053263100.0343,583*
345-9-19NoNo00032671100.0214,872*
335-8-20NoNo0012079100.0132,288*
325-7-21NoNo011585Yes78,476*
314-9-20NoNo001189Yes45,645*
304-8-21NoNo0792Yes25,887*
294-7-22NoNo0595Yes14,453*
283-9-21NoNo0397Yes7,578*
273-8-22NoNo298Yes3,918*
263-7-23NoNo199Yes1,932*
253-6-24NoNo199Yes943*
242-8-23NoNo0100Yes418*
232-7-24NoNo199Yes190*
10-22NoNo100Yes124,456*
Total:8.9%42.4%912111098765443322211103.1%999,612,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship