How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA 1 Londrina 0 -0.2
-1.8
+6.5
-0.8
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.6
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.1
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.3
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Londrina vs Nautico+0.2-0.0-0.1
+1.6-0.3-0.9
-9.3+0.8+5.2
+1.0-0.1-0.6
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Goias vs Avai-0.2-0.2+0.3
Remo vs Guarani+0.2-0.2-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.4-0.3-0.2
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.1-0.2+0.3
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.2-0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.9-0.4+1.5
+6.4+1.3-9.1
-0.7-0.2+1.0
Londrina vs Avai+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.3-0.5-1.0
-8.5+2.0+7.1
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Nautico vs Remo-0.3-0.0+0.5
CRB vs Nautico+0.4-0.0-0.3
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.2-0.2-0.1
Avai vs CRB+0.2-0.2-0.1
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2-0.4+0.1
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.4+0.2
CSA vs Cruzeiro+0.0-0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-102YesYes100No211,656*
8727-3-394.1%Yes946No17*
84-86YesYes100No257*
8325-5-397.8Yes982No323*
8225-4-497.5Yes973No633*
8125-3-596.5Yes964No1,190*
8024-5-495.6Yes964No2,228*
7924-4-593.5Yes9460No4,075*
7823-6-492.0Yes9280No7,334*
7723-5-589.5Yes89100No13,379*
7623-4-686.1Yes861400No23,312*
7522-6-582.0Yes821710No39,792*
7422-5-677.3Yes772210No66,335*
7321-7-571.2Yes712720No108,577*
7221-6-664.6100.0%6532300No174,575*
7121-5-757.1100.05738500No274,962*
7020-7-648.8100.04943810No426,290*
6920-6-740.3100.0404612100No648,250*
6820-5-831.899.93248172000No966,712*
6719-7-723.799.62447245000No1,418,547*
6619-6-816.598.91644308100No2,045,636*
6519-5-910.597.3103836142000No2,897,128*
6418-7-86.194.062938215100No4,027,772*
6318-6-93.187.732037281020000No5,512,191*
6217-8-81.377.411231331751000No7,419,757*
6117-7-90.562.706223325102000No9,812,211*
6017-6-100.145.00313293118610000No12,761,852*
5916-8-90.027.60172031261230000No16,315,666*
5816-7-100.013.700211253021820000No20,532,547*
5716-6-110.05.3001515282817610000No25,398,823*
5615-8-100.01.5000171929261341000No30,914,623*
5515-7-110.00.30000292229231130000No37,007,797*
5415-6-12No0.00000311242921920000No43,566,447*
5314-8-11No0.0000014132528198200000.0%50,485,205*
5214-7-12No0.0000015152628176100000.057,515,675*
5113-9-11No0.000001617272715510000.064,441,130*
5013-8-12NoNo00002719282614410000.171,020,403*
4913-7-13NoNo00002921292412300000.576,984,562*
4812-9-12NoNo0000311232922920002.482,045,246*
4712-8-13NoNo0000141326291971008.185,998,961*
4612-7-14NoNo0000161729281541019.788,603,063*
4511-9-13NoNo000028213125102037.189,759,427*
4411-8-14NoNo00003132732195156.689,365,172*
4311-7-15NoNo00001619322811273.987,439,215*
4210-9-14NoNo0000211283520486.284,074,558*
4110-8-15NoNo00016203629893.679,399,836*
4010-7-16NoNo000021333381497.473,660,381*
399-9-15NoNo00001727432399.167,094,195*
389-8-16NoNo0000419443299.760,010,513*
379-7-17NoNo000213434399.952,639,395*
368-9-16NoNo000183853100.045,318,773*
358-8-17NoNo00053263100.038,264,472*
348-7-18NoNo0032671100.031,668,982*
337-9-17NoNo0012078100.025,678,780*
327-8-18NoNo0011584100.020,405,855*
317-7-19NoNo0001188100.015,866,761*
306-9-18NoNo00892Yes12,074,724*
296-8-19NoNo00694Yes8,985,486*
286-7-20NoNo00496Yes6,535,770*
275-9-19NoNo0298Yes4,638,810*
265-8-20NoNo0298Yes3,210,696*
255-7-21NoNo0199Yes2,165,472*
244-9-20NoNo0199Yes1,422,023*
234-8-21NoNo00100Yes909,059*
224-7-22NoNo0100Yes565,395*
214-6-23NoNo0100Yes340,929*
203-8-22NoNo0100Yes198,673*
193-7-23NoNo0100Yes112,203*
183-6-24NoNo0100Yes61,177*
172-8-23NoNo0100Yes32,262*
162-7-24NoNo0100Yes16,024*
152-6-25NoNo100Yes7,753*
142-5-26NoNo0100Yes3,558*
131-7-25NoNo0100Yes1,530*
3-12NoNo100Yes212,682*
Total:0.2%2.6%0011222334455678911131446.5%1,701,835,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship