How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Sport Recife+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.6-0.9-2.0
-8.2+1.9+6.9
+0.9-0.2-0.7
America-MG vs Juventude-0.1-0.1+0.2
-1.9-0.8+2.6
+7.0+1.7-8.4
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bahia vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Atletico-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Flamengo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Gremio vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Palmeiras vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.6
Atletico-GO vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Santos vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.3+0.3
Gremio vs Santos+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3-0.1
Chapecoense vs Internacional+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.4+0.0
Internacional vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.3+0.1
Corinthians vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Flamengo+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.9-0.7-2.0
-8.4+1.5+6.0
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Juventude vs Ceara+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.6-0.9-2.0
-8.2+1.9+6.9
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Juventude vs Gremio+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.4-1.0-2.1
-8.0+2.2+7.5
+0.9-0.3-0.8
Fortaleza vs Santos-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Bragantino vs Cuiaba-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.1*+0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.4
America-MG vs Fluminense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.4
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
Internacional vs Palmeiras+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.3+0.3
Sao Paulo vs Internacional+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-104YesYes100No127,350*
8325-6-399.7%Yes1000No340*
8225-5-498.9Yes991No709*
8125-4-598.8Yes991No1,312*
8024-6-498.2Yes982No2,493*
7924-5-596.9Yes973No4,424*
7824-4-696.3Yes9640No7,762*
7723-6-593.7Yes9460No13,310*
7623-5-691.5Yes92800No22,632*
7522-7-588.1Yes881100No38,000*
7422-6-683.4Yes831610No61,330*
7322-5-777.9Yes7820200No98,444*
7221-7-671.1Yes7126300No154,482*
7121-6-763.0Yes6332500No239,011*
7021-5-854.3Yes54378100No361,160*
6920-7-744.8Yes454113200No538,297*
6820-6-835.0100.0%3543183000No787,863*
6719-8-725.7100.026422561000No1,131,927*
6619-7-817.5100.0183931112000No1,602,282*
6519-6-910.9100.01132351741000No2,224,706*
6418-8-86.099.8624352482000No3,043,482*
6318-7-92.999.431632301541000No4,091,544*
6218-6-101.298.11925322282000No5,419,642*
6117-8-90.494.8041730291541000No7,050,393*
6017-7-100.187.70292331231020000No9,030,162*
5917-6-110.075.100414272918610000No11,382,367*
5816-8-100.057.000171930261341000No14,101,510*
5716-7-110.036.4000210233022920000No17,220,771*
5615-9-10No18.6001414262918710000No20,669,695*
5515-8-11No7.2000161728271551000No24,420,418*
5415-7-12No2.0000282129241230000No28,385,389*
5314-9-11No0.400003112330229200000.0%32,472,966*
5214-8-12No0.100014132629197100000.036,549,977*
5114-7-13No0.0000015162828165100000.040,496,503*
5013-9-12No0.00002719292613410000.044,134,004*
4913-8-13No0.0000021022302310200000.347,320,751*
4813-7-14NoNo0001413252920710001.649,914,251*
4712-9-13NoNo000151628281651005.651,817,005*
4612-8-14NoNo0000282130251130014.452,880,366*
4512-7-15NoNo000031225302071028.653,081,247*
4411-9-14NoNo00016173028143046.552,385,081*
4311-8-15NoNo00002102432238164.350,831,490*
4211-7-16NoNo0001416313115278.948,496,107*
4110-9-15NoNo00029253523589.045,470,379*
4010-8-16NoNo000141835321094.941,873,978*
3910-7-17NoNo00021131391797.937,897,943*
389-9-16NoNo0001624432699.233,673,215*
379-8-17NoNo000317433699.729,382,139*
369-7-18NoNo000112404799.925,167,768*
358-9-17NoNo00173557100.021,147,606*
348-8-18NoNo00042966100.017,430,580*
338-7-19NoNo00022374100.014,077,541*
327-9-18NoNo0011881100.011,149,876*
317-8-19NoNo0011386100.08,647,642*
307-7-20NoNo000990100.06,570,337*
296-9-19NoNo00694Yes4,881,975*
286-8-20NoNo00496Yes3,548,610*
276-7-21NoNo00397Yes2,519,840*
265-9-20NoNo0298Yes1,743,775*
255-8-21NoNo0199Yes1,179,708*
245-7-22NoNo0199Yes778,182*
234-9-21NoNo0100Yes500,649*
224-8-22NoNo0100Yes312,207*
214-7-23NoNo0100Yes189,031*
203-9-22NoNo0100Yes111,450*
193-8-23NoNo0100Yes63,361*
183-7-24NoNo0100Yes35,052*
173-6-25NoNo0100Yes18,594*
162-8-24NoNo0100Yes9,604*
152-7-25NoNo0100Yes4,645*
2-14NoNo100Yes130,798*
Total:0.2%6.2%0011222344556788910111241.3%1,021,129,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship