How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 -2.8
-7.7
+1.3
-0.9
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.4
+0.5
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.2
+0.6
+0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 *+0.1
+0.3
+0.1
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.2
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1
-0.1
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Avai vs Remo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.4-0.2
Botafogo vs CSA*+0.0+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Vila Nova+2.8-0.9-2.2
+8.3-2.4-6.9
-2.0+0.2+1.8
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.1+0.4-0.4
-0.3+0.5*-0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
*-0.0+0.5-0.3
Vitoria vs Avai+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Brusque vs Confianca-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.4
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3+0.5*-0.1
Remo vs CSA*+0.1+0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
81-95YesYes100No681*
8018-3-399.6%Yes1000No234*
7918-2-499.1Yes991No456*
7817-4-398.9Yes991No743*
7717-3-498.5Yes982No1,250*
7616-5-397.5Yes982No2,020*
7516-4-496.3Yes9640No3,272*
7416-3-594.0Yes9460No5,023*
7315-5-490.8Yes9190No7,330*
7215-4-587.3Yes87120No11,145*
7115-3-682.9Yes831610No15,591*
7014-5-576.1Yes762220No21,951*
6914-4-668.6Yes692830No30,249*
6813-6-559.3100.0%5934600No39,684*
6713-5-649.1100.049401010No51,475*
6613-4-737.999.8384416200No65,440*
6512-6-627.199.42744235100No81,287*
6412-5-717.998.318403010200No98,931*
6312-4-810.495.510333517400No116,183*
6211-6-75.289.652436259200No135,831*
6111-5-82.278.62143131164100No153,307*
6011-4-90.762.31722332510200No170,172*
5910-6-80.242.3031227311971000No184,749*
5810-5-90.023.2015172927154100No195,411*
579-7-80.09.70028213024113000No202,613*
569-6-9No2.90031124302192000No205,007*
559-5-10No0.60014132529197200No202,904*
548-7-9No0.10014152728176100No196,190*
538-6-10No0.00015162828165100No185,606*
528-5-11NoNo001617292715410No170,621*
517-7-10NoNo001719292613410No153,910*
507-6-11NoNo00282130241230000.0%135,134*
497-5-12NoNo000210223023102000.3116,158*
486-7-11NoNo00031124302182002.097,498*
476-6-12NoNo00141427291861007.479,389*
466-5-13NoNo00161729281540019.162,973*
455-7-12NoNo0028223125102037.748,565*
445-6-13NoNo003122632206157.936,485*
435-5-14NoNo001518312913276.026,551*
424-7-13NoNo00210263423587.919,033*
414-6-14NoNo0141835311194.913,177*
404-5-15NoNo021130391898.08,580*
393-7-14NoNo001523432999.45,580*
383-6-15NoNo00215443999.93,398*
373-5-16NoNo193852Yes2,016*
362-7-15NoNo053262Yes1,231*
352-6-16NoNo032671Yes609*
342-5-17NoNo11782Yes339*
332-4-18NoNo11189Yes168*
321-6-17NoNo991Yes85*
311-5-18NoNo496Yes45*
301-4-19NoNo892Yes13*
23-29NoNo100Yes427*
Total:6.5%31.0%688888776655433221103.9%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship