How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 +0.8
+4.1
-4.8
+0.9
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.3
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.2
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 *-0.1
CSA 1 Londrina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Remo vs Guarani-1.1-0.5+1.5
-5.3-1.9+6.6
+2.8+0.5-3.1
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Londrina vs Nautico+0.5+0.3-0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.4+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Avai-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Coritiba+1.5-0.5-1.2
+6.5-2.0-5.7
-3.0+0.7+2.8
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Cruzeiro vs Guarani-1.2-0.6+1.4
-5.3-2.1+6.1
+3.0+0.6-3.1
-0.9-0.3+1.0
Nautico vs Remo-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
CRB vs Nautico+0.4+0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.3*-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.1+0.3-0.1
Avai vs CRB+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
92-107YesYes100No142,044*
9126-5-299.8%Yes1000No567*
9026-4-3YesYes100No1,095*
8926-3-499.7Yes1000No2,061*
8825-5-399.7Yes1000No3,957*
8725-4-499.4Yes991No7,033*
8624-6-399.1Yes9910No12,874*
8524-5-498.9Yes991No22,513*
8424-4-598.3Yes982No38,141*
8323-6-497.7Yes982No64,428*
8223-5-596.8Yes9730No105,576*
8123-4-695.5Yes9550No168,721*
8022-6-594.0Yes9460No264,998*
7922-5-692.0Yes9280No408,250*
7821-7-589.5Yes90100No615,940*
7721-6-686.5Yes861300No910,488*
7621-5-782.7Yes831700No1,323,190*
7520-7-678.2Yes782110No1,890,502*
7420-6-773.0100.0%7326100No2,644,101*
7320-5-866.9100.06731200No3,633,190*
7219-7-760.1100.06036400No4,902,244*
7119-6-852.6100.053416000No6,505,374*
7018-8-744.5100.045469100No8,482,157*
6918-7-836.499.9364814100No10,860,066*
6818-6-928.399.82849193000No13,670,773*
6717-8-820.899.52148265000No16,919,674*
6617-7-914.398.814433291000No20,593,102*
6517-6-109.097.093637153000No24,641,298*
6416-8-95.193.45283922610000No28,988,813*
6316-7-102.686.931937291120000No33,546,022*
6216-6-111.176.411130331851000No38,167,303*
6115-8-100.461.7062234261020000No42,738,723*
6015-7-110.144.2021329311861000No47,031,889*
5914-9-100.027.00162031261230000No50,916,881*
5814-8-110.013.500211253021820000No54,219,530*
5714-7-120.05.3001515282817610000No56,775,233*
5613-9-110.01.50001719292513410000No58,472,948*
5513-8-12No0.300021022292310300000No59,232,638*
5413-7-13No0.00001312242920820000No58,994,180*
5312-9-12No0.000014142628187200000.0%57,773,265*
5212-8-13No0.000016162727166100000.055,624,227*
5112-7-14No0.0000017182826145100000.052,662,088*
5011-9-13NoNo00002820292512410000.048,982,139*
4911-8-14NoNo00003102229231030000.444,787,743*
4811-7-15NoNo00001312242920820001.940,241,224*
4710-9-14NoNo000151527291761006.835,528,869*
4610-8-15NoNo0000171829271330017.330,797,019*
4510-7-16NoNo000021023312392033.726,221,116*
449-9-15NoNo00014142831175053.021,922,962*
439-8-16NoNo0001721332710170.917,980,536*
429-7-17NoNo0000313293418384.214,474,775*
418-9-16NoNo00016223627792.511,430,664*
408-8-17NoNo000031434361396.88,854,576*
398-7-18NoNo0001828422198.86,718,482*
387-9-17NoNo000421443099.64,996,947*
377-8-18NoNo000214434099.93,638,223*
367-7-19NoNo000193951100.02,592,253*
356-9-18NoNo00053461100.01,806,840*
346-8-19NoNo00032869100.01,231,630*
336-7-20NoNo0022277100.0821,108*
325-9-19NoNo011783Yes532,819*
315-8-20NoNo001288Yes337,387*
305-7-21NoNo00991Yes209,036*
294-9-20NoNo0694Yes125,493*
284-8-21NoNo0496Yes73,307*
274-7-22NoNo0397Yes41,708*
263-9-21NoNo0298Yes22,783*
253-8-22NoNo199Yes12,142*
243-7-23NoNo199Yes6,177*
233-6-24NoNo0100Yes3,153*
222-8-23NoNo0100Yes1,540*
212-7-24NoNo0100Yes664*
8-20NoNo100Yes142,028*
Total:3.4%24.2%367777776665544432218.5%1,138,513,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship