How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 2 Bragantino 3 -3.1
-7.2
+1.2
-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo-1.9-0.5+2.8
-6.1-1.4+8.8
+1.7+0.2-2.3
-0.7-0.2+1.0
Flamengo vs Fortaleza+2.5-0.7-2.0
+8.2-2.0-6.7
-2.2+0.4+1.9
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Gremio vs Flamengo-1.8-0.9+2.0
-7.0-2.7+7.2
+2.4+0.5-2.2
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Bahia vs Athletico-PR+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.2+0.3-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Athletico-PR vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs Fluminense-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico-GO vs Fluminense-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chapecoense vs Internacional+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gremio vs Santos+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Juventude vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Santos vs Sao Paulo-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Internacional vs Ceara-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
America-MG vs Juventude+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Flamengo-1.8-0.9+2.0
-6.9-2.7+7.3
+2.3+0.5-2.2
-0.8-0.3+0.9
Fortaleza vs Santos-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bragantino vs Cuiaba-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Fluminense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Internacional vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Internacional+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Juventude vs Ceara+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Juventude vs Gremio-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
93-111YesYes100No111,711*
9227-5-399.9%Yes1000No943*
90-91YesYes100No5,196*
8926-5-499.9Yes1000No6,085*
8826-4-599.9Yes1000No10,828*
8725-6-499.9Yes1000No18,279*
8625-5-599.8Yes1000No30,768*
8525-4-699.7Yes1000No50,903*
8424-6-599.7Yes10000No81,862*
8324-5-699.4Yes991No130,318*
8223-7-599.1Yes9910No201,820*
8123-6-698.6Yes9910No307,062*
8023-5-797.9Yes9820No458,240*
7922-7-696.8Yes97300No671,318*
7822-6-795.3Yes9550No969,953*
7721-8-693.2Yes93700No1,372,149*
7621-7-790.5Yes90900No1,907,111*
7521-6-886.8Yes8713100No2,605,074*
7420-8-782.2Yes8217100No3,503,528*
7320-7-876.5Yes7622200No4,626,574*
7220-6-969.6Yes70273000No6,020,381*
7119-8-861.4Yes61336000No7,692,028*
7019-7-952.5Yes52389100No9,677,317*
6919-6-1043.0100.0%4341142000No11,977,792*
6818-8-933.4100.03343194000No14,580,712*
6718-7-1024.5100.024422571000No17,486,155*
6617-9-916.6100.0173831122000No20,611,808*
6517-8-1010.3100.01032351841000No23,938,110*
6417-7-115.799.86243525920000No27,349,631*
6316-9-102.899.431632301541000No30,764,138*
6216-8-111.298.319253322820000No34,056,806*
6116-7-120.495.3041730291541000No37,118,756*
6015-9-110.188.8029243123920000No39,816,910*
5915-8-120.077.00141528291751000No42,050,317*
5815-7-130.059.800172030251230000No43,704,481*
5714-9-120.039.5000311253021820000No44,711,358*
5614-8-130.021.20001516282816510000No45,054,550*
5514-7-14No8.8000172030251341000No44,644,152*
5413-9-13No2.700002102330221020000No43,548,138*
5313-8-14No0.600014132629197200000.0%41,816,156*
5212-10-13No0.10001516282816510000.039,489,086*
5112-9-14No0.0000017192926134100000.036,697,343*
5012-8-15No0.00002922302310300000.033,552,922*
4911-10-14No0.00001312252920820000.230,173,122*
4811-9-15NoNo0001515272817610001.226,693,254*
4711-8-16NoNo000171929261341004.323,206,575*
4610-10-15NoNo0002102330231020011.919,839,934*
4510-9-16NoNo000141427301861025.016,666,302*
4410-8-17NoNo00017193027133042.413,756,012*
439-10-16NoNo00003112532217160.711,162,172*
429-9-17NoNo0001517313013276.48,890,290*
419-8-18NoNo0000210263522587.56,953,765*
408-10-17NoNo00151935311094.15,334,820*
398-9-18NoNo00021231381697.64,019,793*
388-8-19NoNo0001725422599.12,967,597*
377-10-18NoNo000318433599.72,149,871*
367-9-19NoNo00212414699.91,524,456*
357-8-20NoNo00173656100.01,061,298*
346-10-19NoNo0043065100.0721,342*
336-9-20NoNo0022474100.0479,314*
326-8-21NoNo011881Yes312,692*
315-10-20NoNo0011386100.0197,905*
305-9-21NoNo00990Yes123,389*
295-8-22NoNo0793Yes74,646*
285-7-23NoNo0496Yes44,004*
274-9-22NoNo0397Yes25,362*
264-8-23NoNo0298Yes13,935*
254-7-24NoNo199Yes7,730*
243-9-23NoNo199Yes4,026*
233-8-24NoNo0100Yes2,022*
21-22NoNo100Yes1,455*
202-8-25NoNo0100Yes207*
6-19NoNo100Yes110,821*
Total:5.8%42.9%677888776655443322115.9%889,946,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship