How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Figueirense-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Figueirense vs CSA+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Brasil de Pelotas+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Chapecoense vs Figueirense-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Figueirense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-114YesYes100No425,622*
8828-4-6100.0%Yes1000No12,487*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No21,319*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,968*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No59,851*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No97,790*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No156,840*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No247,854*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No384,648*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No585,493*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No878,914*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,292,437*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,878,167*
7623-7-897.4Yes97300No2,683,802*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,772,943*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No5,223,511*
7322-7-991.8100.0%928000No7,121,925*
7222-6-1088.3100.08811000No9,564,480*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No12,645,709*
7021-7-1077.7100.078202000No16,483,596*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No21,162,639*
6820-8-1061.5100.0613260000No26,765,347*
6720-7-1151.599.95138101000No33,348,645*
6619-9-1040.799.841421520000No40,950,947*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No49,580,721*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No59,169,271*
6318-9-1112.195.212333416410000No69,562,164*
6218-8-126.389.162435249200000No80,635,729*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No92,154,945*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No103,800,232*
5917-8-130.241.503122630198200000No115,226,609*
5816-10-120.022.4015162827165100000No126,109,636*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No136,038,884*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No144,648,567*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,623,173*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0%156,621,412*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.0159,473,527*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,010,113*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,219,049*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132428208200000.3154,160,282*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7148,008,917*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1139,982,683*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.2130,393,839*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213025112038.0119,615,379*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122631217159.0108,102,145*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.896,197,268*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.784,244,686*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,620,433*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.261,629,375*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,436,025*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.842,235,371*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,115,605*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.027,080,261*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,123,523*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,199,523*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.012,192,228*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.09,009,523*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,540,367*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,647,315*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,247,147*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,221,582*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,487,019*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes974,393*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes626,022*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes392,178*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes239,547*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes143,842*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes83,611*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes47,311*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,916*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes13,734*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,094*
0-17NoNo100Yes417,050*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,136,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship