How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Figueirense-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.4-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Figueirense vs CSA+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
CSA vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Figueirense-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Figueirense vs Brasil de Pelotas+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Figueirense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
92-114YesYes100No1,229,117*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No6,131*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No11,523*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No20,445*
8827-7-499.9Yes1000No35,820*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No62,000*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No105,696*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No175,915*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No288,357*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No462,693*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No731,525*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No1,134,246*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,728,202*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,593,023*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No3,831,252*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No5,559,369*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No7,954,514*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No11,186,024*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No15,490,691*
7322-7-991.8100.0%928000No21,138,331*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No28,408,937*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No37,571,390*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No48,963,591*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No62,891,281*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No79,575,120*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No99,206,638*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No121,906,189*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No147,608,114*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No176,178,158*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No207,244,871*
6218-8-126.489.262435249200000No240,296,745*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No274,601,419*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No309,365,537*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No343,531,870*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No375,980,093*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No405,678,419*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No431,422,779*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0%452,250,584*
5415-9-140.00.000001311232821103000000.0467,235,034*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0475,702,559*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0477,336,268*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0471,969,077*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3459,830,798*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7441,381,687*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.1417,437,927*
4713-8-17NoNo000000161828271441019.3388,797,362*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1356,697,330*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.1322,299,848*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.9286,687,153*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.8251,058,692*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.2216,385,922*
4111-8-19NoNo00002929402098.2183,531,786*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4153,166,649*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.8125,729,332*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.0101,481,129*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.080,517,875*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.062,791,895*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.048,114,260*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.036,193,897*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.026,749,533*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes19,395,727*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes13,787,329*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes9,621,948*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes6,574,179*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes4,401,260*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes2,883,593*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes1,846,490*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,157,797*
245-9-24NoNo00100Yes707,314*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes422,941*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes246,383*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes138,982*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes76,507*
17-19NoNo100Yes73,425*
163-7-28NoNo0100Yes5,184*
0-15NoNo100Yes1,226,799*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%9,830,088,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship