How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 1 Fluminense 1 +0.1
Palmeiras 2 America-MG 1 -0.2
-0.3
Bahia 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1
-0.1
Flamengo 2 Bragantino 3 *-0.1
Internacional 1 Ceara 1 +0.1
-0.2
Santos 2 Sao Paulo 0 -0.1
Juventude 1 Sport Recife 0 +0.1
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba-0.2-0.1+0.3
-3.1-1.3+3.8
+6.3+1.5-6.9
-0.8-0.3+0.9
Bahia vs Athletico-PR+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Flamengo vs Fortaleza-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.2-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Fluminense-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gremio vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.2
America-MG vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3-0.0
Corinthians vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.0
*+0.0-0.3+0.2
Chapecoense vs Internacional+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Flamengo+0.3-0.1-0.2
+4.2-1.1-3.1
-6.9+1.3+5.4
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba-0.2-0.1+0.3
-3.0-1.2+4.0
+5.9+1.3-7.1
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Fortaleza+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.4
Fortaleza vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.7
Bragantino vs Ceara-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Atletico-GO vs Bragantino-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Santos vs Atletico-MG*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Corinthians-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Bahia vs America-MG-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.2+0.5
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.4
America-MG vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3-0.0
Juventude vs Gremio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.3+0.2
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.3+0.3
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cuiaba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-107YesYes100No186,430*
8626-6-399.8%Yes1000No563*
8526-5-499.5Yes1000No1,042*
8426-4-599.4Yes991No1,948*
8325-6-499.2Yes991No3,477*
8225-5-598.9Yes991No6,268*
8125-4-698.2Yes9820No11,136*
8024-6-597.2Yes9730No18,887*
7924-5-696.1Yes96400No32,293*
7823-7-594.3Yes9460No53,191*
7723-6-692.2Yes9280No86,632*
7623-5-789.2Yes891100No137,772*
7522-7-685.1Yes851410No215,839*
7422-6-780.1Yes8019100No331,718*
7322-5-874.0Yes7424200No502,890*
7221-7-766.8Yes6729400No744,937*
7121-6-858.5Yes58356000No1,086,306*
7020-8-749.4Yes494010100No1,560,498*
6920-7-839.9100.0%4043152000No2,202,160*
6820-6-930.5100.03044214000No3,058,730*
6719-8-821.8100.022422781000No4,177,778*
6619-7-914.4100.01437331320000No5,611,748*
6519-6-108.699.9930361951000No7,419,515*
6418-8-94.699.852235261020000No9,656,535*
6318-7-102.199.321431311651000No12,370,871*
6218-6-110.897.71823332492000No15,587,827*
6117-8-100.393.9031529301751000No19,334,012*
6017-7-110.186.10182231251130000No23,607,381*
5916-9-100.072.800313273019710000No28,387,083*
5816-8-110.054.400161829271441000No33,587,105*
5716-7-120.034.3000292330231020000No39,157,849*
5615-9-11No17.4001413262919710000No44,903,077*
5515-8-12No6.80001617282715510000No50,706,171*
5415-7-13No1.9000282030251230000No56,365,497*
5314-9-12No0.400003112430219200000.0%61,698,420*
5214-8-13No0.100014142629186100000.066,438,995*
5114-7-14No0.00001617282715510000.070,455,038*
5013-9-13No0.000002820302512300000.073,536,028*
4913-8-14No0.000003112430219200000.275,525,257*
4813-7-15NoNo0001414272918610001.176,322,277*
4712-9-14NoNo0000171929271340004.175,911,874*
4612-8-15NoNo0000210233123920011.174,271,926*
4512-7-16NoNo000141428301751023.371,479,113*
4411-9-15NoNo000017203126112039.867,669,672*
4311-8-16NoNo00003122732206157.762,979,682*
4210-10-15NoNo0001619332811273.557,632,899*
4110-9-16NoNo0000312283419485.251,855,401*
4010-8-17NoNo00016213628792.745,851,718*
399-10-16NoNo000031434361396.839,839,458*
389-9-17NoNo0001928412098.733,990,179*
379-8-18NoNo0000522442999.528,469,622*
368-10-17NoNo000215433999.823,421,102*
358-9-18NoNo001104049100.018,902,434*
348-8-19NoNo00063459100.014,962,131*
337-10-18NoNo00032868100.011,609,930*
327-9-19NoNo0022276100.08,835,806*
317-8-20NoNo0011782100.06,590,055*
306-10-19NoNo001387Yes4,806,248*
296-9-20NoNo00991Yes3,434,302*
286-8-21NoNo00694Yes2,396,650*
276-7-22NoNo00496Yes1,636,932*
265-9-21NoNo0397Yes1,090,423*
255-8-22NoNo0298Yes707,463*
245-7-23NoNo0199Yes448,004*
234-9-22NoNo0199Yes276,656*
224-8-23NoNo00100Yes165,755*
214-7-24NoNo0100Yes97,111*
203-9-23NoNo0100Yes54,398*
193-8-24NoNo0100Yes30,015*
183-7-25NoNo0100Yes15,921*
172-9-24NoNo0100Yes8,002*
162-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,033*
2-15NoNo100Yes189,184*
Total:0.6%11.2%1122334456667788887628.2%1,494,725,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship