How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.1
-0.5
+2.3
-0.3
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.3
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.8
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.5
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.3+0.8
Avai vs Remo-0.4-0.2+0.5
Botafogo vs CSA+0.3-0.3*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.1-0.5-0.9
-10.0+2.3+8.5
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.4-0.6
Brusque vs Coritiba*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.3+0.8
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.1
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.5
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.4+0.7
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.3*-0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
74-84YesYes100No426*
7319-4-190.5%Yes9010No21*
7219-3-290.2Yes9010No41*
7119-2-388.6Yes8911No79*
7018-4-283.6Yes841421No128*
6918-3-375.5Yes76232No245*
6818-2-464.8Yes653041No403*
6717-4-356.9Yes573571No807*
6617-3-446.399.7%464011200No1,308*
6516-5-333.899.5344220400No1,982*
6416-4-422.798.8234126810No3,202*
6316-3-513.897.214363314200No5,100*
6215-5-46.791.672636227100No7,355*
6115-4-53.182.1317323014410No10,920*
6015-3-61.066.1182432239200No15,744*
5914-5-50.346.304142829186100No21,770*
5814-4-60.026.101619302613410No29,837*
5713-6-50.011.00029223023113000No39,570*
5613-5-6No3.2003112430209200No51,623*
5513-4-7No0.7014142529197200No65,610*
5412-6-6No0.10015152628176100No80,719*
5312-5-7No0.00015162728165100No97,689*
5212-4-8NoNo001617282715510No116,240*
5111-6-7NoNo00171829261441000.0%135,116*
5011-5-8NoNo00282029251230000.0153,410*
4911-4-9NoNo00029213024113000.4170,449*
4810-6-8NoNo00031024302292002.0184,074*
4710-5-9NoNo00141326301971007.7195,295*
469-7-8NoNo00151629291541020.2202,374*
459-6-9NoNo00028213126112038.7204,756*
449-5-10NoNo0003112632206159.2203,515*
438-7-9NoNo001518323013276.6195,730*
428-6-10NoNo00210263522588.5185,960*
418-5-11NoNo00141835321095.0171,116*
407-7-10NoNo0021030401898.2154,410*
397-6-11NoNo01523432999.4136,408*
387-5-12NoNo00215424099.8116,588*
376-7-11NoNo00193851100.097,571*
366-6-12NoNo0053262100.079,643*
356-5-13NoNo032572Yes63,212*
345-7-12NoNo011980Yes48,801*
335-6-13NoNo011386Yes36,578*
325-5-14NoNo00991Yes26,721*
314-7-13NoNo0694Yes18,815*
304-6-14NoNo0496Yes12,955*
294-5-15NoNo298Yes8,522*
283-7-14NoNo199Yes5,570*
273-6-15NoNo199Yes3,464*
263-5-16NoNo0100Yes1,926*
253-4-17NoNo0100Yes1,189*
242-6-16NoNo0100Yes655*
232-5-17NoNo0100Yes314*
12-22NoNo100Yes764*
Total:0.2%1.9%00111222344567891011121346.0%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship