How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.4
-2.7
+4.8
-0.8
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.5
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.1
+0.3
Ponte Preta 0 Operario-PR 0 +0.1
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 *-0.1
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Brusque 0 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.1
Goias 3 Avai 0 -0.1
-0.2
CRB 2 Brasil-RS 1 -0.1
-0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
Remo 0 Guarani 0 +0.1
-0.2
Coritiba 1 Vitoria 0 -0.1
-0.2
Confianca 1 Vila Nova 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.3-0.1-0.2
+2.1-0.7-1.6
-7.7+1.6+6.3
+1.0-0.2-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.3-0.1-0.2
+2.2-0.6-1.6
-7.7+1.6+6.1
+1.0-0.2-0.8
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.2-0.1+0.3
-1.5-0.6+2.2
+6.2+1.3-8.1
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Nautico vs Remo-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.3-0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CRB vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Coritiba+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Avai vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2-0.3+0.0
Londrina vs Avai+0.2-0.4+0.0
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.0-0.3+0.2
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta+0.2-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-103YesYes100No82,598*
8626-4-398.3%Yes982No60*
8526-3-4YesYes100No109*
8425-5-398.8Yes991No240*
8325-4-499.1Yes991No428*
8225-3-598.8Yes991No869*
8124-5-497.9Yes982No1,601*
8024-4-596.8Yes973No2,925*
7923-6-496.1Yes964No5,149*
7823-5-594.2Yes9460No9,174*
7723-4-691.9Yes9280No15,358*
7622-6-589.0Yes89110No25,693*
7522-5-685.8Yes861400No42,541*
7421-7-581.1Yes811810No68,398*
7321-6-675.7Yes762310No107,985*
7221-5-768.9Yes692920No166,871*
7120-7-661.4100.0%6134400No254,964*
7020-6-753.2100.05339700No380,903*
6920-5-844.2100.0444411100No559,031*
6819-7-735.099.9354616200No806,956*
6719-6-826.299.626462340000No1,142,127*
6619-5-918.398.91843298100No1,590,515*
6518-7-811.797.3123735132000No2,175,884*
6418-6-96.893.9729372051000No2,924,411*
6317-8-83.487.53213627102000No3,870,836*
6217-7-91.577.111231331751000No5,027,370*
6117-6-100.562.416223325102000No6,426,814*
6016-8-90.244.8031329311861000No8,074,757*
5916-7-100.027.501720312612300000No9,989,296*
5816-6-110.013.800211253021820000No12,151,115*
5715-8-100.05.4001516282816510000No14,529,149*
5615-7-110.01.6000172029251341000No17,089,610*
5515-6-12No0.300021023292210300000No19,773,985*
5414-8-11No0.00001413252920820000No22,503,643*
5314-7-12No0.0000151527281761000No25,199,924*
5213-9-11No0.00001617282715510000.0%27,742,056*
5113-8-12No0.000002820292512410000.030,040,807*
5013-7-13NoNo00002102229231030000.031,983,959*
4912-9-12NoNo0001312252920820000.233,488,451*
4812-8-13NoNo0001515272917610001.134,476,528*
4712-7-14NoNo000161829271441004.434,898,231*
4611-9-13NoNo0000292230241020012.434,722,052*
4511-8-14NoNo000131326311961026.233,965,869*
4411-7-15NoNo00016183128133044.432,644,719*
4310-9-14NoNo0002102533227163.030,826,091*
4210-8-15NoNo00001416323114278.428,599,187*
4110-7-16NoNo00029263622588.926,049,616*
409-9-15NoNo0014183632995.023,311,630*
399-8-16NoNo00021132391698.020,465,639*
389-7-17NoNo0001625442499.317,631,779*
378-9-16NoNo000318453499.814,912,670*
368-8-17NoNo00112424499.912,349,866*
358-7-18NoNo00183854100.010,046,990*
347-9-17NoNo0043264100.07,995,794*
337-8-18NoNo0022672100.06,236,936*
327-7-19NoNo0012079100.04,761,872*
316-9-18NoNo0011584100.03,550,438*
306-8-19NoNo001189Yes2,595,319*
296-7-20NoNo00892Yes1,852,959*
285-9-19NoNo0595Yes1,288,646*
275-8-20NoNo00496Yes877,212*
265-7-21NoNo0298Yes581,575*
254-9-20NoNo0298Yes374,196*
244-8-21NoNo0199Yes235,599*
234-7-22NoNo199Yes143,685*
224-6-23NoNo0100Yes84,569*
213-8-22NoNo0100Yes48,529*
203-7-23NoNo0100Yes26,829*
193-6-24NoNo0100Yes14,487*
182-8-23NoNo0100Yes7,278*
172-7-24NoNo100Yes3,677*
162-6-25NoNo0100Yes1,693*
4-15NoNo100Yes83,838*
Total:0.4%4.6%0112233445566778899833.5%663,922,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship