How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 2 Bragantino 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.4-0.2+0.6
-3.8-1.1+5.6
+4.5+0.8-6.3
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Corinthians vs Sport Recife+0.5-0.2-0.4
+4.8-1.7-4.1
-6.0+1.5+5.5
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Bahia vs Athletico-PR+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Flamengo vs Fortaleza-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Fortaleza vs Fluminense-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Gremio vs Flamengo+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Fluminense-0.1+0.2-0.1
Palmeiras vs America-MG-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.5
Chapecoense vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Gremio vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Santos vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.2+0.2
Juventude vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3+0.0
Internacional vs Ceara-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
America-MG vs Juventude+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.5-0.2-0.4
+4.5-1.8-4.1
-5.9+1.6+6.0
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Fortaleza vs Santos-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Bragantino vs Cuiaba-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
America-MG vs Fluminense+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.2-0.1
Juventude vs Flamengo+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Internacional vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Juventude vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.0
Juventude vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Corinthians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-106YesYes100No127,661*
8626-4-499.9%Yes1000No669*
8525-6-399.7Yes1000No1,267*
8425-5-499.7Yes1000No2,395*
8325-4-599.3Yes991No4,311*
8224-6-499.2Yes991No7,858*
8124-5-598.7Yes991No13,693*
8024-4-698.1Yes982No22,856*
7923-6-597.0Yes9730No38,986*
7823-5-695.7Yes9640No63,787*
7722-7-593.7Yes94600No101,444*
7622-6-691.0Yes91900No159,524*
7522-5-787.5Yes871200No247,710*
7421-7-683.0Yes8316100No375,841*
7321-6-777.3Yes7721200No559,153*
7221-5-870.4Yes7026300No818,074*
7120-7-762.4Yes6232500No1,178,992*
7020-6-853.3Yes53379100No1,667,362*
6919-8-743.8100.0%4441132000No2,313,615*
6819-7-834.1100.03443194000No3,162,845*
6719-6-924.9100.025422571000No4,247,882*
6618-8-816.8100.01738311220000No5,613,973*
6518-7-910.4100.01032351851000No7,294,905*
6418-6-105.899.86243525920000No9,315,202*
6317-8-92.899.431632301541000No11,711,076*
6217-7-101.298.01925322292000No14,488,612*
6117-6-110.494.70416302915510000No17,633,752*
6016-8-100.187.50292331231020000No21,106,802*
5916-7-110.075.000414272918610000No24,871,285*
5815-9-100.057.2001719302613410000No28,840,447*
5715-8-110.036.9000310243022920000No32,897,857*
5615-7-120.019.20001414272918610000No36,939,249*
5514-9-11No7.70001618292714410000No40,804,315*
5414-8-12No2.200029213024113000000.0%44,338,794*
5314-7-13No0.500003122430218200000.047,425,216*
5213-9-12No0.10001415272917610000.049,904,424*
5113-8-13No0.00001618292714410000.051,661,617*
5013-7-14No0.000002821302411300000.052,612,600*
4912-9-13No0.00000311243021920000.252,673,333*
4812-8-14NoNo0001414272918610001.251,892,515*
4712-7-15NoNo000171829271441004.550,282,224*
4611-9-14NoNo00002102230231020012.147,914,674*
4511-8-15NoNo000141427301861025.144,863,077*
4411-7-16NoNo000017193027133042.441,303,019*
4310-9-15NoNo00003112532217160.437,351,432*
4210-8-16NoNo0001518322913275.933,201,091*
4110-7-17NoNo0000211273521587.028,985,167*
409-9-16NoNo00015193530993.824,862,067*
399-8-17NoNo00021232371697.320,915,941*
389-7-18NoNo0001726422499.017,270,233*
378-9-17NoNo000419433499.714,001,124*
368-8-18NoNo000213414499.911,136,339*
358-7-19NoNo00183755100.08,678,436*
347-9-18NoNo00053164100.06,625,332*
337-8-19NoNo0032573100.04,953,937*
327-7-20NoNo0011980100.03,627,352*
316-9-19NoNo0011485100.02,596,617*
306-8-20NoNo001090Yes1,821,169*
296-7-21NoNo00793Yes1,246,479*
285-9-20NoNo00595Yes830,902*
275-8-21NoNo0397Yes542,987*
265-7-22NoNo0298Yes344,251*
254-9-21NoNo0199Yes213,597*
244-8-22NoNo0199Yes128,197*
234-7-23NoNo0100Yes75,012*
223-9-22NoNo0100Yes42,070*
213-8-23NoNo0100Yes23,465*
203-7-24NoNo0100Yes12,447*
193-6-25NoNo0100Yes6,353*
182-8-24NoNo0100Yes3,022*
4-17NoNo100Yes129,528*
Total:0.9%15.4%1223445566677777665422.4%1,021,129,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship