How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
-0.8
+8.1
-0.8
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.4
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.4
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.8
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.6
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.2
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.6-0.3+0.8
Avai vs Remo-0.4*-0.1+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.3+0.7
+7.8+2.6-9.4
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Vitoria vs Avai+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.3-0.6
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.5-0.2+0.7
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.5-0.2+0.7
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.7-0.3-0.5
Cruzeiro vs Londrina+0.2-0.5+0.1
Remo vs CSA+0.2-0.2*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Confianca finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
72-82YesYes100No429*
7120-1-387.5%Yes8813No16*
7019-3-287.5Yes8813No24*
6919-2-375.4Yes75223No69*
6818-4-272.4Yes722611No127*
6718-3-359.1Yes59374No220*
6617-5-247.1Yes4740102No418*
6517-4-341.1Yes4143132No738*
6417-3-424.999.2%254425510No1,303*
6316-5-316.798.01738321120No2,002*
6216-4-49.093.49313618610No3,195*
6116-3-53.986.0420352712200No5,043*
6015-5-41.573.1211283220610No7,467*
5915-4-50.454.005183128144000No11,087*
5815-3-60.132.902922312310200No15,743*
5714-5-50.015.6003122630198200No22,027*
5614-4-6No5.30141527291761000No29,831*
5513-6-5No1.30016172827155100No39,841*
5413-5-6No0.10017192926134100No51,350*
5313-4-7No0.0002820292512300No65,323*
5212-6-6No0.00002921302411300No81,122*
5112-5-7NoNo0002922302310300No98,393*
5012-4-8NoNo00310233022920000.0%116,367*
4911-6-7NoNo00031225302182000.2135,351*
4811-5-8NoNo00141326291971001.4153,258*
4711-4-9NoNo00151628281651005.7170,761*
4610-6-8NoNo00171930271330016.6183,657*
4510-5-9NoNo0002923312392034.1195,803*
449-7-8NoNo0003132831185055.2202,261*
439-6-9NoNo001619322812273.6204,214*
429-5-10NoNo00211273521486.9203,484*
418-7-9NoNo0015193531994.4195,897*
408-6-10NoNo00021131391797.9185,765*
398-5-11NoNo001624432799.3170,656*
387-7-10NoNo00316433899.8154,345*
377-6-11NoNo00110395099.9135,618*
367-5-12NoNo0063361100.0116,710*
356-7-11NoNo0032671100.097,129*
346-6-12NoNo011979Yes79,775*
336-5-13NoNo011486Yes63,171*
325-7-12NoNo00991Yes48,788*
315-6-13NoNo0694Yes36,958*
305-5-14NoNo0496Yes26,900*
294-7-13NoNo0298Yes18,848*
284-6-14NoNo199Yes12,973*
274-5-15NoNo199Yes8,519*
263-7-14NoNo199Yes5,514*
253-6-15NoNo0100Yes3,392*
243-5-16NoNo0100Yes2,027*
233-4-17NoNo0100Yes1,153*
10-22NoNo100Yes1,658*
Total:0.1%1.0%00001112233456781012151956.4%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship