How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 1 Fluminense 1 +0.1
Palmeiras 2 America-MG 1 -0.1
-0.3
Bahia 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1
-0.2
Internacional 1 Ceara 1 +0.1
-0.2
Santos 2 Sao Paulo 0 -0.1
Juventude 1 Sport Recife 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.8-0.5+3.1
+5.2+0.9-8.7
-0.6-0.1+1.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional+0.1-0.1-0.1
+2.5-0.9-2.0
-8.1+1.9+6.9
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Bahia vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Flamengo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gremio vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.3
America-MG vs Juventude+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.4-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.4-0.0
Corinthians vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.3+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR vs Chapecoense-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.6-0.4+3.2
+4.8+0.5-9.0
-0.5-0.1+1.0
Fortaleza vs Chapecoense-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.8-0.5+3.2
+5.1+0.8-8.8
-0.6-0.1+1.0
Fluminense vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Ceara-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Gremio vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8-0.1-0.5
Atletico-GO vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Santos vs Atletico-MG+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Cuiaba vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Fluminense vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Juventude vs Flamengo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Bahia vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.6
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.4
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.4+0.3
Ceara vs Sao Paulo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.4+0.3
America-MG vs Internacional+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.4-0.0
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.3+0.0
Juventude vs Gremio-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-104YesYes100No186,011*
8526-5-399.1%Yes991No112*
8426-4-498.8Yes991No257*
8325-6-399.2Yes991No499*
8225-5-499.3Yes991No973*
8125-4-598.1Yes982No1,878*
8024-6-497.7Yes9820No3,531*
7924-5-596.4Yes9640No6,400*
7824-4-694.6Yes9550No11,108*
7723-6-592.5Yes9270No19,299*
7623-5-689.5Yes891000No32,644*
7522-7-585.3Yes851410No54,476*
7422-6-680.5Yes801810No88,478*
7322-5-774.6Yes752320No141,455*
7221-7-667.5Yes6729400No222,279*
7121-6-759.4Yes5934600No344,236*
7021-5-850.4Yes503910100No521,044*
6920-7-740.8Yes414314200No776,510*
6820-6-831.4100.0%3144204000No1,137,742*
6719-8-722.6100.02342277100No1,637,582*
6619-7-815.1100.0153832122000No2,317,120*
6519-6-99.1100.0931361951000No3,228,120*
6418-8-84.999.85233626920000No4,413,117*
6318-7-92.399.321531311641000No5,938,251*
6218-6-100.997.918243323920000No7,861,794*
6117-8-90.394.4041630291651000No10,232,600*
6017-7-100.187.10182231241020000No13,114,256*
5917-6-110.074.200414273018610000No16,547,167*
5816-8-100.056.100161930261341000No20,524,527*
5716-7-110.035.8000210233022920000No25,051,081*
5615-9-10No18.400141426291871000No30,091,422*
5515-8-11No7.30001618292714410000No35,566,936*
5415-7-12No2.10000282130241130000No41,369,897*
5314-9-11No0.400003112430219200000.0%47,362,686*
5214-8-12No0.1000014142629186100000.053,346,253*
5114-7-13No0.00001617282715510000.059,120,924*
5013-9-12No0.000002820302512300000.064,479,668*
4913-8-13No0.00000311243022920000.269,179,921*
4813-7-14NoNo0001414272918610001.272,999,711*
4712-9-13NoNo000161829271441004.375,798,997*
4612-8-14NoNo0000210233123920011.677,401,539*
4512-7-15NoNo0000141427301851024.177,737,788*
4411-9-14NoNo000017203127122041.076,748,921*
4311-8-15NoNo00003122632206158.974,525,178*
4211-7-16NoNo00001619332912274.671,124,259*
4110-9-15NoNo0000211283520486.066,704,832*
4010-8-16NoNo00016213628893.161,479,103*
3910-7-17NoNo00031434361397.055,642,442*
389-9-16NoNo00001828422198.849,475,967*
379-8-17NoNo0000421443099.643,184,143*
369-7-18NoNo000215434099.937,005,729*
358-9-17NoNo001103950100.031,100,822*
348-8-18NoNo00063460100.025,655,569*
338-7-19NoNo00032869100.020,727,823*
327-9-18NoNo0022276100.016,427,495*
317-8-19NoNo00011782100.012,737,709*
307-7-20NoNo0001287100.09,678,325*
296-9-19NoNo00991Yes7,190,278*
286-8-20NoNo00694Yes5,231,446*
276-7-21NoNo00496Yes3,714,710*
265-9-20NoNo00397Yes2,575,793*
255-8-21NoNo0298Yes1,743,013*
245-7-22NoNo0199Yes1,151,491*
234-9-21NoNo0199Yes739,102*
224-8-22NoNo0100Yes460,570*
214-7-23NoNo0100Yes280,728*
203-9-22NoNo00100Yes163,947*
193-8-23NoNo0100Yes93,921*
183-7-24NoNo0100Yes51,572*
173-6-25NoNo0100Yes27,601*
162-8-24NoNo0100Yes14,178*
2-15NoNo100Yes198,324*
Total:0.2%6.1%0011223344566789910101040.0%1,494,725,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship