How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 +0.8
+4.5
-5.8
+1.1
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.2
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.5
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.1
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1
-0.2
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.2
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs CSA-1.1-0.5+1.4
-4.8-1.8+5.9
+3.8+0.8-4.3
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.0+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Remo vs CSA-1.1-0.5+1.4
-4.8-1.9+6.0
+3.8+0.7-4.3
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4*+0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.2+0.3
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Londrina*+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CSA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
79-93YesYes100No563*
7819-3-398.3%Yes982No118*
7718-5-299.6Yes1000No249*
7618-4-398.0Yes982No403*
7518-3-497.5Yes982No683*
7417-5-394.9Yes955No1,133*
7317-4-492.7Yes9370No1,814*
7217-3-589.2Yes89100No2,974*
7116-5-483.8Yes84151No4,390*
7016-4-579.0Yes792010No6,587*
6915-6-471.3Yes712630No9,715*
6815-5-562.1100.0%6233500No13,667*
6715-4-652.2100.05239810No19,120*
6614-6-541.099.9414314200No26,355*
6514-5-630.099.73045204000No34,964*
6414-4-720.298.7204228810No45,852*
6313-6-612.196.4123534153000No58,395*
6213-5-76.391.362636237100No72,704*
6113-4-82.881.93163330144100No88,212*
6012-6-71.066.2182433239200No106,008*
5912-5-80.246.803152930175100No123,379*
5811-7-70.027.3017203126123100No140,766*
5711-6-80.012.200210233022102000No158,697*
5611-5-90.03.80003132629197200No173,416*
5510-7-80.00.800015152728176100No186,294*
5410-6-9No0.10016172827155100No194,938*
5310-5-10No0.00017192926134100No199,590*
529-7-9No0.00002821302512300No200,844*
519-6-10NoNo000292230231030000.0%196,739*
509-5-11NoNo000311243022920000.0189,222*
498-7-10NoNo00131225302072000.2178,326*
488-6-11NoNo00141427291761001.1162,414*
478-5-12NoNo00161729281541005.0146,229*
467-7-11NoNo00282030251130014.5128,135*
457-6-12NoNo00031124312281030.8110,331*
447-5-13NoNo0014152930174051.091,923*
436-7-12NoNo001721332610170.374,201*
426-6-13NoNo00312283319484.359,085*
416-5-14NoNo016203629893.245,931*
405-7-13NoNo0021332371597.434,366*
395-6-14NoNo001725422599.125,499*
385-5-15NoNo00318433699.817,767*
374-7-14NoNo0111404899.912,473*
364-6-15NoNo0163360100.08,470*
354-5-16NoNo0032770100.05,334*
343-7-15NoNo22078Yes3,342*
333-6-16NoNo11584Yes2,140*
323-5-17NoNo1990Yes1,266*
312-7-16NoNo0693Yes632*
302-6-17NoNo595Yes351*
292-5-18NoNo397Yes143*
282-4-19NoNo199Yes95*
18-27NoNo100Yes476*
Total:2.6%16.5%3455666777766655432110.8%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship