How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.3
+0.2
+0.1
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.2
+0.4
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.2
+0.5
+0.2
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.1
*+0.1
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.2
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1
-0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.3
+0.1
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-2.2-0.9+2.7
-6.9-2.4+8.4
+2.0+0.4-2.2
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.3*+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Avai vs Remo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.3
Botafogo vs CSA*+0.1+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Ponte Preta+2.6-0.9-2.0
+8.0-2.6-6.4
-2.3+0.2+2.2
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.1+0.4-0.4
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Vitoria vs Avai+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.3+0.5*-0.0
Brusque vs Confianca-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-96YesYes100No549*
8119-3-399.2%Yes991No132*
8019-2-4YesYes100No241*
7918-4-399.3Yes991No407*
7818-3-499.0Yes991No679*
7717-5-398.7Yes991No1,115*
7617-4-497.8Yes982No1,802*
7517-3-596.7Yes973No2,841*
7416-5-494.9Yes9550No4,430*
7316-4-591.5Yes92800No6,485*
7216-3-688.0Yes881200No9,685*
7115-5-583.7Yes84161No13,777*
7015-4-676.7Yes772220No19,342*
6914-6-569.7Yes702730No26,290*
6814-5-660.7100.0%6134500No35,362*
6714-4-750.5100.05140910No45,487*
6613-6-639.899.9404315200No58,409*
6513-5-729.399.6294422400No72,444*
6413-4-819.498.61941299100No88,943*
6312-6-711.596.211353516300No105,783*
6212-5-85.991.162636248100No123,999*
6111-7-72.681.2316323015400No141,750*
6011-6-80.965.7182433239200No157,420*
5911-5-90.246.403142930176100No173,359*
5810-7-80.026.7016193026134100No186,099*
5710-6-90.011.800210233023102000No195,006*
5610-5-100.03.800031225292082000No199,592*
559-7-9No0.80015152728176100No200,393*
549-6-10No0.10016172827155100No197,009*
539-5-11No0.00017192926134100No189,318*
528-7-10NoNo002820292512310No177,477*
518-6-11NoNo002922302411300No163,364*
508-5-12NoNo00031023302292000.0%146,251*
497-7-11NoNo0031225292182000.2128,352*
487-6-12NoNo0141426291871001.4109,902*
477-5-13NoNo00151628281651005.591,474*
466-7-12NoNo00171930261230016.074,941*
456-6-13NoNo0021023312392033.359,053*
446-5-14NoNo0014142831175053.845,681*
435-7-13NoNo001620322811272.734,617*
425-6-14NoNo00211273520486.225,159*
415-5-15NoNo00151935301094.218,012*
404-7-14NoNo0021131381797.612,259*
394-6-15NoNo01624422799.38,263*
384-5-16NoNo00316424099.85,301*
373-7-15NoNo0110385199.93,419*
363-6-16NoNo053164Yes2,028*
353-5-17NoNo032572Yes1,217*
342-7-16NoNo21979Yes673*
332-6-17NoNo11090Yes373*
322-5-18NoNo1991Yes185*
312-4-19NoNo1189Yes92*
301-6-18NoNo298Yes43*
291-5-19NoNo892Yes12*
21-28NoNo100Yes424*
Total:6.0%29.2%678888776655443321104.8%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship