How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 -1.7
-5.9
+2.5
-0.9
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 +0.3
+0.4
+0.2
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.2
-0.1
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.1
-0.4
-0.1
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
-0.3
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 -0.1
CSA 1 Londrina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
CRB vs Brasil-RS+0.9-0.4-0.8
+4.8-2.0-4.5
-4.1+1.1+4.3
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Londrina vs Nautico+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.0-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.4-0.1-0.2
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Avai-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Remo vs Guarani+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Nautico+1.5-0.2-0.9
+6.0-1.1-3.8
-4.5+0.4+3.0
+1.1-0.2-0.7
Avai vs CRB-0.8-0.4+1.0
-4.2-1.6+5.3
+3.8+0.8-4.4
-0.9-0.3+1.0
Nautico vs Remo-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Brusque vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.1+0.3-0.1
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-106YesYes100No125,252*
8826-3-499.7%Yes1000No990*
8725-5-399.6Yes1000No1,865*
8625-4-499.4Yes991No3,377*
8524-6-399.2Yes991No6,337*
8424-5-498.9Yes991No11,097*
8324-4-598.5Yes991No19,324*
8223-6-497.7Yes9820No32,624*
8123-5-596.7Yes9730No54,665*
8023-4-695.4Yes9550No89,500*
7922-6-593.8Yes9460No143,148*
7822-5-691.6Yes9280No224,637*
7721-7-588.9Yes891100No345,192*
7621-6-685.5Yes851400No521,280*
7521-5-781.4Yes811810No770,921*
7420-7-676.2100.0%7623100No1,120,539*
7320-6-770.3Yes702820No1,597,597*
7220-5-863.7100.06433300No2,239,399*
7119-7-756.0100.056395000No3,078,204*
7019-6-847.9100.048438100No4,165,120*
6918-8-739.4100.03947121000No5,527,912*
6818-7-830.999.93149182000No7,219,832*
6718-6-923.099.62348245000No9,258,194*
6617-8-815.998.916443181000No11,676,426*
6517-7-910.197.31037361420000No14,480,666*
6417-6-105.894.0629382151000No17,657,867*
6316-8-92.987.732037281020000No21,179,650*
6216-7-101.377.611231331751000No24,975,939*
6116-6-110.563.1062334251020000No28,962,374*
6015-8-100.145.7031429311751000No33,028,806*
5915-7-110.028.40172131251230000No37,060,281*
5815-6-120.014.400312263020820000No40,897,137*
5714-8-110.05.7001516282816510000No44,364,893*
5614-7-120.01.7000282029251241000No47,367,883*
5513-9-11No0.300031023292210300000No49,719,071*
5413-8-12No0.00001413252919820000No51,320,419*
5313-7-13No0.000015152628176100000.0%52,102,652*
5212-9-12No0.0000016172827155100000.051,991,252*
5112-8-13No0.000002819282513410000.051,033,846*
5012-7-14NoNo00002921292411300000.049,233,198*
4911-9-13NoNo0000311232922920000.346,691,224*
4811-8-14NoNo0001413252919710001.643,511,447*
4711-7-15NoNo0000151628281651005.839,849,192*
4610-9-14NoNo0000282030261230015.435,860,314*
4510-8-15NoNo000031124312281030.931,692,445*
4410-7-16NoNo00015162930164050.027,503,460*
439-9-15NoNo0000282233259168.223,436,243*
429-8-16NoNo000314303317382.319,597,967*
419-7-17NoNo00017233626691.316,082,699*
408-9-16NoNo00031534351296.312,957,003*
398-8-17NoNo0001929411998.610,221,836*
388-7-18NoNo0000522442999.57,910,899*
377-9-17NoNo000215433999.85,996,788*
367-8-18NoNo001104050100.04,453,429*
357-7-19NoNo00063460100.03,233,439*
346-9-18NoNo0032869100.02,299,651*
336-8-19NoNo0022276100.01,598,137*
326-7-20NoNo0011782100.01,084,509*
315-9-19NoNo001287Yes720,177*
305-8-20NoNo00991Yes465,182*
295-7-21NoNo00694Yes291,881*
284-9-20NoNo0496Yes178,586*
274-8-21NoNo0397Yes107,204*
264-7-22NoNo0298Yes62,178*
253-9-21NoNo199Yes34,467*
243-8-22NoNo199Yes18,773*
233-7-23NoNo0100Yes10,020*
223-6-24NoNo0100Yes5,079*
212-8-23NoNo0100Yes2,495*
202-7-24NoNo0100Yes1,184*
7-19NoNo100Yes125,206*
Total:2.1%17.0%2456666666666555443213.0%999,612,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship