How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria 3 Brusque 1 -4.8
-7.0
+0.7
-0.7
Nautico 3 Botafogo 1 -0.9
Operario-PR 2 Cruzeiro 1 -0.3
-0.4
Vasco da Gama 3 CRB 0 +0.3
+0.3
Guarani 1 Ponte Preta 0 -0.2
-0.3
Vila Nova 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
*-0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Confianca 1 *-0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brusque vs Sampaio Correa+3.2-1.3-3.0
+7.6-2.6-7.5
-1.1+0.3+1.2
+0.8-0.3-0.8
Londrina vs Nautico+1.4+0.7-1.2
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
Goias vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
Remo vs Guarani+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
CRB vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Confianca vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Brusque-2.8-1.2+3.3
-7.0-2.2+7.9
+1.1+0.2-1.2
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Brusque vs Brasil-RS+2.9-1.5-3.0
+7.0-3.1-7.5
-1.1+0.3+1.3
+0.7-0.3-0.8
Nautico vs Remo-1.1+0.7+1.3
-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
CRB vs Nautico+1.2+0.6-1.2
-0.2+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Operario-PR vs Confianca-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.4+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.5+0.4+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vila Nova vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
Remo vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Goias vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.4-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Avai vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Vitoria vs Londrina-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Londrina vs Avai+0.1+0.2-0.2
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil-RS vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brusque finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
94-111YesYes100No198,741*
9327-3-4100.0%Yes1000No4,510*
9226-5-399.9Yes1000No8,488*
9126-4-499.9Yes1000No15,134*
9025-6-399.8Yes1000No26,460*
8925-5-499.8Yes1000No45,569*
8825-4-599.7Yes1000No76,880*
8724-6-499.6Yes1000No126,178*
8624-5-599.4Yes991No202,901*
8524-4-699.1Yes991No321,214*
8423-6-598.7Yes991No498,128*
8323-5-698.2Yes9820No751,485*
8222-7-597.4Yes9730No1,117,600*
8122-6-696.4Yes9640No1,628,350*
8022-5-795.0Yes9550No2,327,093*
7921-7-693.3Yes9370No3,268,469*
7821-6-791.1Yes91900No4,505,863*
7721-5-888.3Yes881200No6,108,977*
7620-7-784.9Yes851500No8,117,671*
7520-6-880.8100.0%8119000No10,612,771*
7419-8-775.9100.07623100No13,633,611*
7319-7-870.2100.07028100No17,229,234*
7219-6-963.7100.064343000No21,393,841*
7118-8-856.5100.056394000No26,114,619*
7018-7-948.6100.049447000No31,371,553*
6918-6-1040.4100.0404811100No37,049,910*
6817-8-932.199.93250162000No43,054,988*
6717-7-1024.299.72450224000No49,211,697*
6616-9-917.099.217462971000No55,314,204*
6516-8-1011.198.01140351220000No61,216,108*
6416-7-116.595.2732381840000No66,625,534*
6315-9-103.490.03233826810000No71,371,523*
6215-8-111.580.9214333215400000No75,207,043*
6115-7-120.667.418253423820000No77,981,332*
6014-9-110.250.20316312915410000No79,568,265*
5914-8-120.032.20182331241020000No79,838,645*
5814-7-130.017.000313273018710000No78,866,972*
5713-9-120.07.0001618292714410000No76,620,581*
5613-8-130.02.10002921292411300000No73,221,137*
5513-7-140.00.50000311242921920000No68,830,515*
5412-9-13No0.10001414262818720000No63,632,613*
5312-8-14No0.0000015162727166100000.0%57,874,096*
5212-7-15No0.000001718282615510000.051,740,542*
5111-9-14No0.000002819282513410000.045,488,971*
5011-8-15NoNo00002921292411300000.039,312,518*
4910-10-14NoNo0000031123292210200000.333,389,526*
4810-9-15NoNo0001413252920820001.727,851,318*
4710-8-16NoNo0000151527281751006.322,840,397*
469-10-15NoNo0000271930261330016.518,390,285*
459-9-16NoNo000021023312391032.614,542,401*
449-8-17NoNo00014152830174052.011,284,833*
438-10-16NoNo0001721332610170.08,592,048*
428-9-17NoNo0000313293418383.66,419,990*
418-8-18NoNo00017223627792.14,698,769*
407-10-17NoNo00031434361396.63,379,681*
397-9-18NoNo001828422098.72,376,869*
387-8-19NoNo000421442999.61,639,448*
376-10-18NoNo00215434099.91,105,015*
366-9-19NoNo00194050100.0726,993*
356-8-20NoNo0063460100.0468,919*
346-7-21NoNo0032868100.0295,484*
335-9-20NoNo0022276100.0182,459*
325-8-21NoNo011782Yes108,760*
315-7-22NoNo001387Yes63,735*
304-9-21NoNo00991Yes36,416*
294-8-22NoNo0694Yes20,470*
284-7-23NoNo0595Yes10,650*
273-9-22NoNo397Yes5,569*
263-8-23NoNo298Yes2,785*
253-7-24NoNo199Yes1,332*
242-9-23NoNo199Yes664*
232-8-24NoNo0100Yes303*
9-22NoNo100Yes194,267*
Total:10.7%46.2%1114121087655443322111102.7%1,560,361,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship