How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 +0.5
+3.1
-7.6
+1.1
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.1
+0.2
*-0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.2
+0.7
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.2
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 -0.3
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.1
-0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.1
+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs CSA+0.8-0.3-0.6
+4.3-1.4-3.4
-6.0+1.3+5.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Avai vs Remo-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4*-0.1+0.5
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.1+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.8-0.3-0.6
+4.5-1.4-3.6
-5.9+1.3+5.0
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.2*+0.0
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.2+0.4
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Brusque vs Confianca-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1*-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Londrina*+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
78-91YesYes100No491*
7719-4-298.3%Yes982No60*
7619-3-399.2Yes991No126*
7519-2-497.5Yes973No236*
7418-4-397.7Yes982No384*
7318-3-493.2Yes9370No674*
7217-5-388.9Yes89110No1,117*
7117-4-485.1Yes85150No1,841*
7017-3-577.3Yes772110No2,844*
6916-5-471.3Yes712630No4,334*
6816-4-561.9Yes623350No6,561*
6715-6-451.4100.0%5139910No9,644*
6615-5-540.899.941431420No13,916*
6515-4-629.999.6304521400No19,366*
6414-6-519.898.7204129910No26,464*
6314-5-612.096.2123534153000No34,707*
6214-4-76.291.062536238100No45,841*
6113-6-62.680.93163230154100No58,496*
6013-5-70.965.3182433239200No72,750*
5913-4-80.345.103142830186100No88,493*
5812-6-70.026.0016193026134100No105,482*
5712-5-80.011.10029223023103000No123,910*
5611-7-70.03.50003122529208200No141,159*
5511-6-8No0.700141426291861000No158,140*
5411-5-9No0.10015162827165100No173,901*
5310-7-8No0.00016182827154100No185,762*
5210-6-9NoNo0017192926134100No194,853*
5110-5-10NoNo00282129251130000.0%200,011*
509-7-9NoNo00029223023102000.0200,082*
499-6-10NoNo00031124302182000.2196,957*
489-5-11NoNo000141326301971001.4189,244*
478-7-10NoNo00151628281651005.6177,470*
468-6-11NoNo00172030261330015.9162,626*
458-5-12NoNo0021024312282032.4146,322*
447-7-11NoNo0014142931175052.8128,912*
437-6-12NoNo001720332711271.5109,774*
427-5-13NoNo00312283419485.291,685*
416-7-12NoNo0016203529993.375,032*
406-6-13NoNo0021232371697.558,944*
396-5-14NoNo001725432599.145,662*
385-7-13NoNo00317433699.734,486*
375-6-14NoNo0111394899.925,403*
365-5-15NoNo0163459100.018,160*
354-7-14NoNo032770Yes12,436*
344-6-15NoNo012079Yes8,251*
334-5-16NoNo011585Yes5,515*
323-7-15NoNo0990Yes3,289*
313-6-16NoNo793Yes2,074*
303-5-17NoNo496Yes1,138*
292-7-16NoNo397Yes619*
282-6-17NoNo199Yes326*
16-27NoNo100Yes750*
Total:1.3%10.2%1234455666777776654317.7%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship