How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR 1 Coritiba 0 +0.4
+0.2
+0.1
Nautico 1 Brusque 1 +0.4
+0.3
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.3
+0.7
+0.1
Vasco da Gama 4 Guarani 1 +0.1
+0.1
Confianca 0 Botafogo 1 -0.2
Vila Nova 0 Cruzeiro 0 +0.1
-0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.3
+0.1
CSA 2 Vitoria 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Remo+3.5-1.2-2.8
+8.7-2.4-7.2
-1.6+0.2+1.5
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Avai vs Brasil-RS+3.5-1.2-2.7
+8.6-2.5-7.0
-1.7+0.2+1.6
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Sampaio Correa vs CRB*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.1+0.5-0.3
Botafogo vs CSA*+0.0+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Avai-2.7-1.2+3.5
-6.9-2.4+8.5
+1.6+0.2-1.7
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.2+0.5-0.5
-0.2+0.4*-0.0
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.2+0.3-0.4
*+0.0+0.5-0.3
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.3*+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Brusque vs Confianca-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3+0.5*-0.0
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.4-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Avai finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
81-99YesYes100No1,213*
8018-5-399.7%Yes1000No608*
7918-4-499.8Yes1000No1,007*
7818-3-599.1Yes9910No1,658*
7717-5-498.6Yes991No2,570*
7617-4-597.6Yes982No3,849*
7516-6-496.5Yes9640No5,786*
7416-5-594.8Yes9550No8,455*
7316-4-692.4Yes9280No12,137*
7215-6-589.5Yes90100No16,979*
7115-5-684.9Yes851510No23,327*
7015-4-778.8Yes792010No30,961*
6914-6-671.1100.0%7126300No40,869*
6814-5-762.2100.06233500No51,720*
6714-4-851.9100.05239910No64,701*
6613-6-741.199.9414314200No79,971*
6513-5-829.899.6304421400No96,174*
6412-7-720.098.720422981000No113,190*
6312-6-812.196.412353415300No130,048*
6212-5-96.391.362636237100No146,152*
6111-7-82.681.53163330144000No162,705*
6011-6-90.966.11824332392000No176,561*
5911-5-100.246.603142930175100No186,217*
5810-7-90.026.9017193026134100No193,724*
5710-6-100.011.800210233022102000No196,546*
5610-5-110.03.800031225292082000No196,104*
559-7-10No0.80015152728176100No190,759*
549-6-11No0.10016172827155100No182,018*
539-5-12No0.000017182826144100No170,326*
528-7-11NoNo0028202925123100No155,105*
518-6-12NoNo000292130241130000.0%138,865*
508-5-13NoNo000210223023102000.0121,362*
497-7-12NoNo00031124302192000.2103,588*
487-6-13NoNo0141326291971001.486,517*
477-5-14NoNo00151628281751006.069,996*
466-7-13NoNo00171930271330016.755,568*
456-6-14NoNo002923312392034.343,306*
446-5-15NoNo0013132831185154.732,113*
435-7-14NoNo001619322811273.423,910*
425-6-15NoNo00211273420486.216,974*
415-5-16NoNo015193530994.111,680*
404-7-15NoNo0021131391797.98,025*
394-6-16NoNo01623432799.35,143*
384-5-17NoNo0317433799.83,233*
373-7-16NoNo0110375299.91,985*
363-6-17NoNo015346199.91,205*
353-5-18NoNo32572Yes612*
342-7-17NoNo11881Yes397*
332-6-18NoNo1090Yes214*
322-5-19NoNo595Yes85*
311-7-18NoNo298Yes41*
301-6-19NoNo496Yes27*
21-29NoNo100Yes434*
Total:9.1%36.6%9109988766554432211103.3%3,366,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship