How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 7/24 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Athletico-PR vs Internacional +1.6-0.9-1.7 +7.1-3.2-8.4 -0.1+0.0+0.2 +0.6-0.3-0.7 Palmeiras vs Fluminense -0.6+0.4+0.8 +0.4+0.2-0.9 Atletico-MG vs Bahia -0.3+0.2+0.3 +0.2+0.2-0.5 Fortaleza vs Bragantino -0.0+0.2-0.1 -0.1+0.2*-0.0 Flamengo vs Sao Paulo -0.1*+0.0+0.1 -0.8+0.5+0.9 Sport Recife vs Ceara +0.8+0.4-0.8 Santos vs Atletico-GO -0.3+0.5*-0.0 Juventude vs Chapecoense -0.2+0.1+0.2 Cuiaba vs Corinthians *+0.1+0.2-0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 7/31 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR -1.7-0.5+2.6 -6.3-1.1+9.1 +0.1*-0.0-0.1 -0.5-0.1+0.7 Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras +0.8+0.4-0.5 Bragantino vs Gremio -0.2+0.2+0.3 -0.4+0.3+0.7 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Ceara vs Fortaleza +0.2+0.1-0.3 -0.4+0.4+0.1 Gremio vs Flamengo +0.1+0.1-0.1 +1.0+0.4-0.8 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Corinthians vs Flamengo +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.5+0.5-0.6 Bahia vs Sport Recife -0.7+0.4+0.8 Chapecoense vs Santos +0.6+0.4-0.5 Fluminense vs Juventude -0.6+0.5+0.5 Atletico-GO vs America-MG -0.5+0.3+0.5 Internacional vs Cuiaba -0.1+0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 90 -101 Yes Yes 100 No 1,083 * 89 22 - 3 - 2 98.6 % Yes 99 1 No 71 * 88 22 - 2 - 3 Yes Yes 100 No 169 * 87 21 - 4 - 2 99.2 Yes 99 1 No 250 * 86 21 - 3 - 3 99.4 Yes 99 1 No 527 * 85 20 - 5 - 2 98.2 Yes 98 2 No 958 * 84 20 - 4 - 3 98.1 Yes 98 2 No 1,599 * 83 20 - 3 - 4 96.7 Yes 97 3 No 2,756 * 82 19 - 5 - 3 94.5 Yes 95 5 0 No 4,402 * 81 19 - 4 - 4 92.3 Yes 92 8 0 No 6,799 * 80 19 - 3 - 5 88.5 Yes 89 11 0 No 10,562 * 79 18 - 5 - 4 84.0 Yes 84 16 1 No 15,682 * 78 18 - 4 - 5 77.7 Yes 78 21 1 0 No 23,013 * 77 17 - 6 - 4 71.6 Yes 72 26 2 0 No 33,066 * 76 17 - 5 - 5 63.8 Yes 64 32 4 0 0 No 45,572 * 75 17 - 4 - 6 54.8 Yes 55 39 6 0 0 0 No 62,305 * 74 16 - 6 - 5 45.7 Yes 46 43 10 1 0 No 83,007 * 73 16 - 5 - 6 36.6 Yes 37 46 15 2 0 0 No 107,793 * 72 16 - 4 - 7 27.6 Yes 28 48 21 3 0 0 No 137,018 * 71 15 - 6 - 6 19.6 Yes 20 46 28 6 0 0 No 170,407 * 70 15 - 5 - 7 13.0 100.0 % 13 41 34 10 1 0 0 No 208,151 * 69 14 - 7 - 6 8.0 100.0 8 34 39 16 3 0 0 No 245,676 * 68 14 - 6 - 7 4.5 100.0 4 26 41 23 5 0 0 No 288,168 * 67 14 - 5 - 8 2.3 100.0 2 18 39 30 9 1 0 0 No 328,587 * 66 13 - 7 - 7 1.0 99.9 1 12 33 36 16 3 0 0 No 367,190 * 65 13 - 6 - 8 0.4 99.6 0 7 26 38 23 5 0 0 No 402,305 * 64 13 - 5 - 9 0.1 98.7 0 3 18 37 31 10 1 0 0 No 432,787 * 63 12 - 7 - 8 0.0 96.8 0 1 11 31 36 17 3 0 0 No 455,352 * 62 12 - 6 - 9 0.0 92.8 0 1 6 23 38 25 6 1 0 0 No 467,957 * 61 12 - 5 - 10 0.0 85.3 0 0 3 15 35 33 12 2 0 0 0 No 474,593 * 60 11 - 7 - 9 No 74.1 0 1 8 28 37 20 5 1 0 0 No 466,136 * 59 11 - 6 - 10 No 59.3 0 0 4 19 36 28 10 2 0 0 No 451,918 * 58 10 - 8 - 9 No 42.4 0 0 2 11 30 34 18 5 1 0 0 No 428,047 * 57 10 - 7 - 10 No 26.7 0 0 0 5 21 35 27 10 2 0 0 No 397,089 * 56 10 - 6 - 11 No 14.4 0 0 2 12 29 33 18 5 1 0 0 No 361,398 * 55 9 - 8 - 10 No 6.5 0 1 6 20 33 27 11 2 0 0 0 No 320,757 * 54 9 - 7 - 11 No 2.3 0 0 2 12 27 32 20 6 1 0 0 No 280,244 * 53 9 - 6 - 12 No 0.7 0 1 5 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 0 No 238,577 * 52 8 - 8 - 11 No 0.2 0 0 2 10 24 32 22 8 2 0 0 No 198,414 * 51 8 - 7 - 12 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 15 29 30 17 5 1 0 0 No 161,155 * 50 8 - 6 - 13 No 0.0 0 0 1 7 20 31 26 12 3 0 0 0 0.0 % 129,127 * 49 7 - 8 - 12 No No 0 0 3 11 25 31 21 8 1 0 0 0.0 100,174 * 48 7 - 7 - 13 No No 0 1 5 16 29 29 15 4 1 0 0 0.0 76,359 * 47 7 - 6 - 14 No No 0 0 1 8 21 31 25 10 2 0 0 0.2 56,656 * 46 6 - 8 - 13 No No 0 0 0 3 12 27 32 19 6 1 0 0.9 40,893 * 45 6 - 7 - 14 No No 0 0 1 5 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 3.2 28,825 * 44 6 - 6 - 15 No No 0 0 2 9 25 33 22 8 1 0 8.7 20,050 * 43 5 - 8 - 14 No No 0 0 4 16 31 30 15 3 0 18.5 13,442 * 42 5 - 7 - 15 No No 0 0 1 8 24 34 24 8 1 33.1 8,676 * 41 5 - 6 - 16 No No 0 0 3 15 31 32 15 3 0 49.7 5,579 * 40 4 - 8 - 15 No No 1 8 25 38 23 5 0 66.5 3,527 * 39 4 - 7 - 16 No No 0 4 16 36 32 11 1 79.9 2,068 * 38 4 - 6 - 17 No No 0 2 10 32 37 18 2 88.5 1,239 * 37 3 - 8 - 16 No No 0 5 22 41 29 3 95.2 672 * 36 3 - 7 - 17 No No 2 14 38 38 8 97.5 362 * 35 3 - 6 - 18 No No 7 37 43 13 Yes 194 * 34 2 - 8 - 17 No No 4 24 56 16 Yes 100 * 33 2 - 7 - 18 No No 30 57 14 Yes 37 * 32 2 - 6 - 19 No No 8 75 17 Yes 12 * 31 1 - 8 - 18 No No 20 80 Yes 10 * 27 -30 No No 100 Yes 4 * 20 0 - 0 - 27 No No 2 98 Yes 1,014 Total: 4.5 % 64.1 % 4 8 11 13 14 13 10 8 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 % 8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship