"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Universitario 1 Defensa y Justicia 1 -0.6
+0.0
I. del Valle 0 Palmeiras 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Universitario vs I. del Valle+0.9OutOut
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Palmeiras vs Defensa y Justicia+0.1-0.1Out

What If

Chances based on how well the Universitario finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
72-0-022.7%2375212,972,835
51-1-0Out653572,717,044
41-0-1Out2377205,019,288
1-3Out100709,707,665*
Total:0.3%010891,000,416,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/11100.0*Lottery seed
The Strongest 2 Barcelona SC 0 +0.4
Universitario 1 Defensa y Justicia 1 -0.2
Deportivo Tachira 2 Internacional 1 +0.1
Argentinos Juniors 0 U. Catolica 1 +0.1
Always Ready 1 Olimpia 2 +0.1
Sporting Cristal 0 Racing 2 -0.1
America de Cali 1 Atletico-MG 3 -0.1
Rentistas 1 Sao Paulo 1 +0.1
Union La Calera 2 Flamengo 2 +0.1
Fluminense 2 Santa Fe 1 -0.0
I. del Valle 0 Palmeiras 1 -0.0
Atletico Nacional 0 Nacional 0 +0.0
Junior Barranquilla 1 River Plate 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Lottery seed
Universitario vs I. del Valle-3.5+0.4+1.5
Nacional vs U. Catolica+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sporting Cristal vs Rentistas+0.2+0.1-0.1
Velez Sarsfield vs Union La Calera-0.1+0.0+0.2
The Strongest vs Santos+0.2+0.0-0.1
River Plate vs Santa Fe-0.1+0.0+0.2
America de Cali vs La Guaira+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Junior Barranquilla-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
72-0-000016161820231672000
51-1-000392027241341000
41-0-1002717282714410
30-2-016203328112
20-1-1005224429
10-0-221979
Total:000000000000123577692137